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05P.Yasa 南太史上次強氣旋 登陸斐濟

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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2020-12-20 22:38 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2020-12-20 23:17 編輯

JTWC1330Z再評級Low
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS OF TC 05P) HAS PERSISTED
NEAR 23.9S 178.7E, APPROXIMATELY 382 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SUVA,
FIJI. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL STORM,
GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL AND MID-LATITUDE
CYCLONE FEATURES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A
FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH AN AREA OF CONVECTION BEING
SHEARED TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST. A 200704Z SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE
IMAGE REVEALS A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
WITH AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY HIGH
(20-30 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND COOL (25C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (SST). THE SYSTEM IS ALSO EMBEDDED WITHIN AN UPPER
LEVEL MID-LATITUTE TROUGH. GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT THE
SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AND SLOWLY DISSIPATE.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 TO 45 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 989 MB. FOR
HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO
HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED
FORECAST AUTHORITY. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE SYSTEM TO TRANSITION INTO
A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
abpwsair - 2020-12-20T231502.683.jpg 20201220.1450.himawari-8.ir.05P.YASA.45kts.989mb.23.9S.178.7W.100pc.jpg
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2020-12-21 04:03 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2020-12-21 04:08 編輯

JTWC判定於20/06Z已成為副熱帶氣旋
SH, 05, 2020122000,   , BEST,   0, 233S, 1781W,  50,  985, TS,  50, NEQ,    0,   65,   60,   45, 1005,  215,  50,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0,       YASA,  ,
SH, 05, 2020122006,   , BEST,   0, 238S, 1784W,  45,  989, SS,  34, NEQ,  125,  165,  120,   85, 1004,  200,  50,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0,       YASA,  ,
Gale Warning 075 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 201258 UTC.

LOW, FORMER TROPICAL CYCLONE YASA [992HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 24.0S 179.0W AT
201200UTC. MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 05 KNOTS.

EXPECT CLOCKWISE WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 180 NAUTICAL MILES OF LOW IN THE
NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST QUADRANTS.

GALE AREA MOVING WITH LOW.

THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 074.

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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2020-12-22 15:47 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC取消評級
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS OF TC 05P) PREVIOUSLY
LOCATED NEAR 23.9S 178.7E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.


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