簽到天數: 3291 天 [LV.Master]伴壇終老
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t02436|2014-3-16 09:18
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THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.3S
137.6E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S 137.4E, APPROXIMATELY 96 NM NORTH-
NORTHEAST OF GOVE AIRPORT, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
AN ILL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 152256Z SSMIS
MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS FORMATIVE BANDING OVER THE NORTHERN
PERIPHERY WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES
THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN AN AREA WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
OFFSET BY FAIR EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW. DYNAMICAL MODELS
INDICATE SLOW DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS WESTWARD, SKIRTING
THE COAST OF THE NORTHERN TERRITORY OF AUSTRALIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM
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