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20S.Mitchell 巔峰曾達澳式C3

簽到天數: 3408 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

king111807|2026-2-6 05:50 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC發布TCFA

WTXS22 PGTW 051900 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 98P) CORRECTED//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050730Z FEB 26//
AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 050730)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
075 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17.8S 122.7E TO 19.0S 120.2E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 051800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 17.8S 122.6E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.4S 126.7E
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.8S 122.6E, APPROXIMATELY 24 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF
BROOME, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AS
WELL AS A 051352Z METOP B 89V MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING
CIRCULATION WITH A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LLCC, RADAR FROM BROOME, AUSTRALIA
SHOWS DEEP CONVECTIVE CELLS ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY DISPLACED FROM THE
CIRCULATION CENTER AS IT TAKES A MORE COASTAL POSITION. A 051356Z ASCAT
PASS REVEALS ELEVATED WINDS (20-25 KTS) ALONG THE AUSTRALIAN COAST IVO
ADELE ISLAND THESE ARE VERIFIED BY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ON ADELE ISLAND
AT 051700Z READING 21KT WITH GUSTS OF 30KT. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS
INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME WITH LOW
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15KTS), GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM COASTAL
WATERS (28-29C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODEL DEPICTIONS ARE IN AGREEMENT
ON THE CIRCULATION TRACKING BRIEFLY OVER WATER AND QUICKLY CONSOLIDATING
AND INTENSIFYING ALONG THE WESTERN AUSTRALIAN COAST OVER THE NEXT 12-
24HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25
KNOTS.MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
061800Z.
4. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT
LOCATED NEAR 13.5S 62.0E
5. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED MANOP HEADER WTXS22.//
//
NNNN
sh9826.gif
98P_051800sair.jpg
abpwsair.jpg
fnv3_98P_ensemble_2026020512.png
rbtop-animated.gif
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

king111807|2026-2-11 23:09 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC升格20S

WTXS31 PGTW 060300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (TWENTY) WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (TWENTY) WARNING NR 001   
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   060000Z --- NEAR 17.8S 121.9E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND RADAR
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   REPEAT POSIT: 17.8S 121.9E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   061200Z --- 18.3S 120.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   070000Z --- 18.9S 118.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   071200Z --- 19.8S 117.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   080000Z --- 20.8S 115.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   090000Z --- 23.5S 114.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   100000Z --- 26.1S 116.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
060300Z POSITION NEAR 17.9S 121.5E.
06FEB26. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (TWENTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 18
NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 060000Z IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
060900Z, 061500Z, 062100Z AND 070300Z.
//
NNNN
20S.gif
20S.jpg
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

king111807|2026-2-11 23:11 | 顯示全部樓層
BoM升格澳式C1,命名Mitchell

IDW24100

Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning.

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 8
Issued at 8:49 pm WST on Friday 6 February 2026

Headline:
Tropical Cyclone Mitchell (21U) has developed to the north of the Pilbara coast.

Areas Affected:
Warning Zone
De Grey to Mardie, including Port Hedland and Karratha.

Watch Zone
Onslow to Coral Bay, including Exmouth, and extending inland through the western Pilbara to include Pannawonica.

Cancelled Zone
None.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Mitchell 21U at 8:00 pm AWST:
Intensity: Category 1, sustained winds near the centre of 65 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 95 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 45 kilometres of 18.5 degrees South 120.1 degrees East, estimated to be 255 kilometres northeast of Port Hedland and 425 kilometres northeast of Karratha.

Movement: west southwest at 20 kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Mitchell (21U) has formed to the northeast of Port Hedland and is expected to intensify further. It is forecast to reach category 2 cyclone by late Saturday,

Mitchell is moving in a general west southwest direction, and is expected to remain off the coast initially. It may begin to turn towards the southwest from Saturday night, which would take it closer to the coast. On its current forecast track, Mitchell is expected to make landfall over the western Pilbara coast around late on Sunday.

There is a slight possibility that Mitchell may further intensify to a category 3 cyclone overnight on Saturday, if it moves more slowly than forecast and remains over the warm offshore waters.

Hazards:
DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS to 150 km/h are possible for coastal parts of the Pilbara around Karratha, Dampier and Wickham from late Saturday, extending to Mardie on Saturday night. Destructive winds may extend further west along the coast towards Onslow and Exmouth during Sunday as the core of Mtichell approaches the coast.

GALES with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS to 120 km/h are possible for coastal parts between De Grey and Mardie during Saturday, extending west to Onslow and Exmouth and through inland parts of the western Pilbara, including Pannawonica during Sunday.

Widespread moderate to locally HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING is possible with this risk persisting through the weekend for the Pilbara coast.

Tides between Wickham and Exmouth are likely to rise above the normal high tide mark on Saturday and Sunday and LARGE WAVES may produce FLOODING of low-lying coastal areas.

Recommended Action:
Ensure you know what to do in a cyclone. For the latest DFES community alerts and warnings visit www.emergency.wa.gov.au or download the Emergency WA app.

Next Advice:
The next advice will be issued by 12:00 am AWST Saturday 07 February.

Cyclone advices and DFES Alerts are available by dialling 13 DFES (13 3337)

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at: http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone

20S.png
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

king111807|2026-2-11 23:14 | 顯示全部樓層
BoM升格澳式C2

IDW24100

Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning.

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 12
Issued at 8:54 am WST on Saturday 7 February 2026

Headline:
Tropical Cyclone Mitchell (21U), category 2 intensity forecast to reach severe category 3 cyclone as it passes just north of Karratha overnight and then along the west Pilbara coast on Sunday.

Areas Affected:
Warning Zone
De Grey to Ningaloo, including Port Hedland, Karratha, Onslow, and Exmouth, and extending inland through the western Pilbara to include Pannawonica.

Watch Zone
Ningaloo to Carnarvon and adjacent inland areas.

Cancelled Zone
None.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Mitchell 21U at 8:00 am AWST:
Intensity: Category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 95 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 130 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 35 kilometres of 19.0 degrees South 118.4 degrees East, estimated to be 145 kilometres north of Port Hedland and 255 kilometres northeast of Karratha.

Movement: west southwest at 16 kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Mitchell (21U) lies to the north of Port Hedland is intensifying and now forecast to reach category 3 cyclone overnight.

Mitchell is forecast to move to the southwest closer to the Pilbara coast today, and track close to the west Pilbara coast during Sunday before taking a more southerly track over land during Monday.

Hazards:
VERY DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS to 170 km/h are possible over the coastal parts of the Pilbara around Karratha, Dampier and Wickham overnight, extending to Onslow during Sunday as the destructive core of Mitchell moves along the coast.

DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS to 150 km/h are forecast around Karratha, Dampier and Wickham from as early as this evening, extending to west towards Onslow Sunday and possibly Exmouth Sunday night.

GALES with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS to 120 km/h are possible along the coastal parts between De Grey and Dampier during Saturday afternoon, extending west to Onslow and Exmouth and through inland parts of the western Pilbara, including Pannawonica, from early Sunday morning.

Widespread moderate to locally HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING is possible from later today with this risk persisting through the weekend for the central and west Pilbara coast extending to the west Gascoyne region on Monday.

ABNORMALLY HIGH TIDES could cause SERIOUS FLOODING in the Karratha region early Sunday morning, and then in the Onslow region on the Sunday afternoon.

Elsewhere on the west Pilbara coast including Exmouth, tides are likely to rise above the normal high tide mark on Saturday and Sunday which may produce FLOODING of low-lying coastal areas.

Recommended Action:
Ensure you know what to do in a cyclone. For the latest DFES community alerts and warnings visit www.emergency.wa.gov.au or download the Emergency WA app.

Next Advice:
The next advice will be issued by 12:00 pm AWST Saturday 07 February.

Cyclone advices and DFES Alerts are available by dialling 13 DFES (13 3337)

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at: http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone
20S.png
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

king111807|2026-2-11 23:19 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC升格C1

WTXS31 PGTW 070900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (MITCHELL) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (MITCHELL) WARNING NR 006   
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   070600Z --- NEAR 19.4S 117.6E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 19.4S 117.6E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   071800Z --- 20.4S 116.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   080600Z --- 21.5S 115.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   081800Z --- 22.8S 114.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   090600Z --- 24.5S 114.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   100600Z --- 28.0S 118.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
070900Z POSITION NEAR 19.7S 117.2E. 07FEB26. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S
(MITCHELL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 78 NM NORTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND,
AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 070600Z IS 979 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
071500Z, 072100Z, 080300Z AND 080900Z.//
NNNN
20S.gif
20S.jpg
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

king111807|2026-2-11 23:22 | 顯示全部樓層
BoM升格澳式C3

IDW24100

Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Transmitters serving the Karratha area are requested to USE the Standard Emergency Warning Signal before broadcasting the following warning.

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 17
Issued at 8:00 pm WST on Saturday 7 February 2026

Headline:
Severe Tropical Cyclone Mitchell (21U), category 3, is moving southwest to the north of Karratha.

Areas Affected:
Warning Zone
Whim Creek to Coral Bay, including Karratha, Onslow, and Exmouth, and extending inland through the western Pilbara to include Pannawonica.

Watch Zone
Coral Bay to Carnarvon and adjacent inland areas.

Cancelled Zone
East of Whim Creek to Port Hedland, including Port Hedland.

Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Mitchell 21U at 8:00 pm AWST:
Intensity: Category 3, sustained winds near the centre of 130 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 185 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 30 kilometres of 20.0 degrees South 116.7 degrees East, estimated to be 85 kilometres north northwest of Karratha and 245 kilometres northeast of Onslow.

Movement: west southwest at 18 kilometres per hour.

Severe Tropical Cyclone Mitchell (21U) is intensifying north of Karratha and is at category 3 strength.

Severe Tropical Cyclone Mitchell is forecast to move to the southwest closer to the Pilbara coast overnight, and then track close to the west Pilbara coast during Sunday. Late on Sunday it is forecast to move over land near Onslow, before taking a more southerly track over land during Monday.

Hazards:
VERY DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS to 220 km/h are possible over the coastal parts of the Pilbara around Karratha, Dampier and Wickham tonight especially if Mitchell moves closer than forecast, extending to Onslow during Sunday as the destructive core of Mitchell moves along the coast.

DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS to 160 km/h are forecast around Karratha, Dampier and Wickham tonight, extending west towards Onslow during Sunday and possibly Exmouth Sunday night.

GALES with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS to 120 km/h are possible along the coastal parts between Whim Creek and Dampier, extending west to Onslow and Exmouth and through inland parts of the western Pilbara, including Pannawonica.

Widespread moderate to HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING is likely from later today with this risk persisting through the weekend for the central and west Pilbara coast, extending to the west Gascoyne region on Monday. Local areas of INTENSE rainfall leading to SEVERE FLASH FLOODING may develop around the central Pilbara coast west of Wickham overnight and Sunday morning.

ABNORMALLY HIGH TIDES could cause SERIOUS FLOODING in the Karratha region early Sunday morning, and then in the Onslow region on the Sunday afternoon.

Elsewhere on the west Pilbara coast including Exmouth, tides are likely to rise above the normal high tide mark on Saturday and Sunday which may produce FLOODING of low-lying coastal areas.

Recommended Action:
Ensure you know what to do in a cyclone. For the latest DFES community alerts and warnings visit www.emergency.wa.gov.au or download the Emergency WA app.

Next Advice:
The next advice will be issued by 9:00 pm AWST Saturday 07 February.

Cyclone advices and DFES Alerts are available by dialling 13 DFES (13 3337)

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at: http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

king111807|2026-2-11 23:24 | 顯示全部樓層
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IDW24100
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Transmitters serving the Onslow area are requested to USE the Standard
Emergency Warning Signal before broadcasting the following warning.

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 35
Issued at 2:13 pm WST on Sunday 8 February 2026

Headline:
Tropical Cyclone Mitchell (21U) has weakened slightly as it approaches the far
west Pilbara coast.

Areas Affected:
Warning zone: Onslow to Carnarvon, including Exmouth, and extending inland
through the western Pilbara and northwest Gascoyne.

Watch zone: Wooramel Roadhouse to Overlander Roadhouse, including Denham, and
extending to inland parts of the western Gascoyne, including Gascoyne Junction.

Cancelled zone: Mardie.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Mitchell 21U at 2:00 pm AWST:
Intensity: Category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 110 kilometres per
hour with wind gusts to 155 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 30 kilometres of 21.2 degrees South 114.7 degrees East,
estimated to be 65 kilometres northwest of Onslow and 100 kilometres northeast
of Exmouth.
Movement: southwest at 16 kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Mitchell (21U) has weakened slightly and is now at category 2
intensity. It is expected to maintain its strength as it continues to track
towards the southwest during this afternoon and evening.

Mitchell is forecast to approach the far west Pilbara coast during the
afternoon while remaining over water, with possible landfall close to Exmouth
late this evening or early Monday morning.

Hazards:
DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS to 155 km/h are possible over coastal areas near Onslow
this afternoon, and are expected to develop over North West Cape (including
Exmouth) this evening. Destructive wind gusts may extend further down the coast
to Coral Bay on Monday morning.

GALES with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS to 120 km/h are occurring along coastal areas
from west of Mardie to Exmouth. GALES with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS to 120 km/h are
forecast to extend further south to Coral Bay and inland parts of the western
Pilbara and far northern Gascoyne later this evening or overnight. During
Monday, GALES should extend further south through the western Gascoyne,
possibly developing over Carnarvon, Denham and Gascoyne Junction during Monday
afternoon and evening.

Widespread moderate to HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING is
likely over the west Pilbara coast, extending to the west Gascoyne region on
Monday. Local areas of INTENSE rainfall leading to SEVERE FLASH FLOODING may
occur around the west Pilbara coast around Onslow from later this afternoon,
extending to Exmouth and Ningaloo, including the North West Cape, later this
evening.

ABNORMALLY HIGH TIDES are expected along the west Pilbara coast, including
Onslow and Exmouth. Tides are likely to rise above the normal high tide mark
this afternoon and again on Monday morning's high tide, causing FLOODING of
low-lying coastal areas. ABNORMALLY HIGH TIDES are expected along the Gascoyne
coast, including Carnarvon, with Monday afternoon's high tide.

Recommended Action:
Ensure you know what to do in a cyclone. For the latest DFES community alerts
and warnings visit www.emergency.wa.gov.au or download the Emergency WA app.

Next Advice:
The next advice will be issued by 3:00 pm AWST Sunday 08 February.

Cyclone advices and DFES Alerts are available by dialling  13 DFES (13 3337)

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone
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