簽到天數: 3414 天 [LV.Master]伴壇終老
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king111807|2025-11-25 09:43
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JTWC降格C2，發布FW
WTXS31 PGTW 242100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (FINA) WARNING NR 027//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (FINA) WARNING NR 027
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241800Z --- NEAR 14.5S 127.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S 127.7E
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FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 14.7S 127.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 15.0S 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 15.6S 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
242100Z POSITION NEAR 14.5S 127.6E.
24NOV25. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (FINA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 222
NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A RAGGED WARM SPOT OR EYE
FEATURE HANGING IN THERE, JUST INLAND OF THE KIMBERLEY COAST.
SUBSEQUENT IMAGERY SHOWS THE EYE RAPIDLY FILLING IN AND DISAPPEARING
IN THE EIR, THOUGH THE CENTER REMAINS FAIRLY WELL-DEFIFINED IN THE
ANIMATED RADAR IMAGERY OUT OF WYNDHAM AS LATE AS THE 242000Z HOUR.
HOWEVER, THE CENTER IS BECOMING MORE DIFFUSE AND THE BANDING FEATURES
ARE SHALLOWING OUT. THE INITIAL POSITION IS ASSESSED WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE RADAR IMAGERY, WHILE THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
ASSESSED WITH LOW CONFIDENCE BASED ON A CIMSS DPRINT ESTIMATE OF 88
KNOTS AT 1800Z AND THE STILL WELL-DEFINED RADAR EYE PRESENT AT
ANALYSIS TIME. NOW OVER LAND AND MOVING TOWARDS HIGHER TERRAIN, THE IS
FORECAST TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK SOUTHWARD ALONG
THE WESTERN SIDE OF A STR CENTERED TO THE EAST AND AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE WEST. TC 05S IS FORECAST TO
WEAKEN BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THIS IS
THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL
HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 241800Z IS 965 MB. REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (FINA) FINAL WARNING (WTXS31 PGTW).//
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