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05S.Fina 巔峰達澳式C4 登陸澳洲北部

簽到天數: 3414 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

king111807|2025-11-22 18:57 | 顯示全部樓層
BoM升格澳式C2
Tropical Cyclone Fina, category 2, is impacting the Cobourg Peninsula, extending to other parts of the northwest Top End today and on Saturday.

Areas Affected:
Warning zone: The Tiwi Islands, Daly River Mouth to Warruwi, and inland to Batchelor. This includes Darwin, Cobourg Peninsula, Minjilang and Gunbalanya, and also Pirlangimpi, Milikapiti and Wurrumiyanga.

Watch zone: Wadeye to south of Daly River Mouth.

Cancelled zone: None.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Fina 02U at 3:30 pm ACST:
Intensity: Category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 95 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 130 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 30 kilometres of 10.6 degrees South 132.5 degrees East, estimated to be 60 kilometres north of Minjilang and 270 kilometres northeast of Darwin.

Movement: southwest at 6 kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Fina has intensified to a category 2 cyclone, and is moving slowly to the southwest.

Fina is approaching the Cobourg Peninsula and Tiwi Islands and will move over the area tonight, before continuing southwest through the Van Diemen Gulf on Saturday.

Fina is forecast to further intensify to a severe tropical cyclone during overnight Sunday or early Monday as it moves through the southern Timor Sea. There continues to remain a chance that it could reach category 3 intensity earlier, during late Friday or early Saturday as it moves into the Van Diemen Gulf.

Hazards:
GALES with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS to 120 km/h are occurring over the Cobourg Peninsula between Cape Don and Warruwi. Gales are expected to extend further west to include the Tiwi Islands during late Friday, and to Darwin from Saturday morning. Gales could extend inland to Gunbalanya and Batchelor during Saturday if Fina moves further south. Gales may extend further southwest to Daly River Mouth and Wadeye later on Saturday or overnight into early Sunday morning. DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS to 155km/h may develop between Cape Don and Minjilang Friday evening as the system nears the coast, extending to the Tiwi Islands early Saturday and possibly to Darwin later on Saturday. Destructive winds may extend east to Warruwi later Friday if the system takes a track further east. HEAVY to LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING is possible along coastal areas between the Tiwi Islands and Warruwi from Friday, extending to the coast and nearby inland areas across the western Top End including Darwin during Saturday and Sunday. Coastal residents on the Tiwi Islands, and between Cape Hotham and Warruwi are specifically warned of a DANGEROUS STORM TIDE as the cyclone centre crosses the coast during Friday and Saturday. Tides are likely to rise significantly above the normal high tide, with DAMAGING WAVES and DANGEROUS FLOODING.

Recommended Action:
NTES advises people between Cape Don to Minjilang should complete preparations quickly and be prepared to shelter in a safe place. NTES advises people on the Tiwi Islands, and between Daly River Mouth to Warruwi, including the Cobourg Peninsula, Darwin and Batchelor, should immediately commence or continue preparations, especially securing boats and property, using available daylight hours. NTES advises people elsewhere near and between Wadeye and south of Daly River Mouth, should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone threat increases. For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit the Secure NT website (securent.nt.gov.au). For emergency assistance call the Northern Territory Emergency Service (NTES) on 132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on buildings or roof damage).

Next Advice:
The next advice will be issued by 7:30 pm ACST Friday 21 November.

Cyclone advices and DFES Alerts are available by dialling 13 DFES (13 3337)
02U.png
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

king111807|2025-11-22 19:17 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC升格C2
WTXS31 PGTW 220900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (FINA) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (FINA) WARNING NR 017   
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   220600Z --- NEAR 11.9S 131.0E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND RADAR
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 11.9S 131.0E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   221800Z --- 12.5S 130.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   230600Z --- 13.1S 129.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   231800Z --- 13.7S 128.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   240600Z --- 14.0S 128.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   250600Z --- 14.2S 127.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   260600Z --- 14.4S 126.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 01 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   270600Z --- 14.7S 126.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
220900Z POSITION NEAR 12.1S 130.8E.
22NOV25. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (FINA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 36 NM
NORTH OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 220600Z
IS 964 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 32 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z, 222100Z, 230300Z AND 230900Z.//
NNNN
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himawari8_05S_ir_202511221055.png
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

king111807|2025-11-22 19:23 | 顯示全部樓層
BoM升格澳式C3

Severe Tropical Cyclone Fina, Category 3 is causing gale-force winds and heavy rainfall over the Darwin area, winds may possibly increase further over the next few hours.

Area affected
Warning zone
The Tiwi Islands and the area west of Point Stuart to Wadeye. This includes Darwin, Pirlangimpi, Milikapiti, Wurrumiyanga and Wadeye.

Watch zone
Wadeye (NT) to Troughton Island (WA) including Kalumburu (WA).

Cancelled zone
None.

At 7:00 pm Australian Western Standard Time
At 7:00 pm AWST

Intensity
category 3, sustained winds near the centre of 150 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 205 kilometres per hour

Location
within 20 kilometres of 12.1 degrees South, 130.7 degrees East, 45 kilometres north northwest of Darwin and 35 kilometres south southeast of Wurrumiyanga

Movement
west southwest at 8 kilometres per hour

Darwin radar and satellite imagery shows Fina to the north of Darwin as a small but intense system. Based on Fina's forecast west southwest track, the very destructive core is likely to pass just north of Darwin tonight. After passing Darwin, Fina is forecast to maintain severe tropical cyclone intensity on Sunday and into Monday as it moves through the southern Timor Sea, and then start weakening during Monday or Tuesday near the Kimberley coast.

Hazards

VERY DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS to 205 km/h are occurring along the south coast of Melville Island, extending to Bathurst Island with a chance of reaching Wurrumiyanga over the next few hours. Very destructive wind gusts are possible about exposed coastal sites north of Darwin (including Gunn Point) but are less likely at Darwin.

DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS to 155 km/h are likely to continue to extend west over southern parts of the Tiwi islands, including Wurrumiyanga. Destructive gusts may extend to the Darwin region in the next few hours and possibly further to Dundee Beach tonight, particularly if Fina moves in a more southerly direction.

GALES with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS to 120 km/h are occurring over the Tiwi Islands and from Darwin northeast to Cape Hotham. Gales may extend southwest to Dundee Beach tonight, Daly River Mouth early Sunday, and if Fina takes a more southerly track, gales could extend south to Wadeye during Sunday.

Later Sunday or on Monday, GALES may extend to coastal parts of the north Kimberley in WA, from Kalumburu to the WA/NT Border, but not including Wyndham or Kununurra.

HEAVY to LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL, which may lead to FLASH FLOODING, is currently occurring around Darwin, and will be possible over the Tiwi Islands and elsewhere about the mainland coast between the area west of Point Stuart and Dundee Beach, during the remainder of this evening. The risk of HEAVY RAINFALL about coastal and adjacent inland areas will extend southwest to the Daly River Mouth overnight and on Sunday.

Coastal residents on the Tiwi Islands, and between Cape Hotham and Warruwi are specifically warned that tides are likely to rise above the normal high tide mark with LARGE WAVES and MINOR FLOODING of low-lying coastal areas.


Recommended action
NTES advises people in the path of the dangerous cyclone about southern Melville Island and Cape Hotham to Point Stuart, should stay calm and remain in a secure shelter while the destructive winds continue. Do not venture outside if you find yourself in the eye of the cyclone - destructive winds from a different direction could resume at any time. Heed the advice and follow the instructions of Emergency Services personnel and local authorities. NTES advises people on the Tiwi Islands, and elsewhere between Daly River Mouth to the area west of Point Stuart, including Darwin, should complete preparations quickly and be prepared to shelter in a safe place. Outside property, including boats, playground equipment, chairs and tables should be secured. NTES advises people between Daly River Mouth and Wadeye should immediately commence or continue preparations, especially securing boats and property, using available daylight hours. NTES advises people elsewhere near and between Wadeye and the NT/WA Border should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone threat increases. For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit the Secure NT website (https://securent.nt.gov.au). For emergency assistance call the Northern Territory Emergency Service (NTES) on 132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on buildings or roof damage).
02U.png
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[LV.9]以壇為家II

蜜露|2025-11-23 21:11 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 蜜露 於 2025-11-23 21:12 編輯




現在菲納的強度是澳式Cat.4

05S_CA.png

69b48dc0-6b29-46df-83d4-24a153536397.png


RCM3_SHUB_2025_11_23_09_52_27_0817206747_129.06E_13.45S_HV_C-12_MERGED01_wind.png

RCM3_SHUB_2025_11_23_09_52_27_0817206747_129.06E_13.45S_HV_C-12_MERGED01_RadialW.png

南半球風季和北半球其實是不一樣

南半球是2025/7~2026/6  這樣算

菲納 Fina 是02U  也是澳洲海域 2025~2026 編號01  
(01U沒有命名(熱低))..



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king111807|2025-11-24 04:07 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC升格C3

05S FINA 251123 1800 13.9S 128.5E SHEM 105 958
fnv3_05I_ensemble_2025112312.png
himawari8_05S_ir_202511231935.png
himawari8_rainbow_05S.gif
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

king111807|2025-11-25 09:25 | 顯示全部樓層
BoM降格澳式C3

Severe Tropical Cyclone Fina, category 3, is impacting the northeast Kimberley coast.

Areas Affected:
Warning Zone
NT/WA Border to east of Kalumburu.

Watch Zone
None.

Cancelled Zone
None.

Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Fina 02U at 2:00 pm AWST:
Intensity: Category 3, sustained winds near the centre of 155 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 220 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 20 kilometres of 14.2 degrees South 128.0 degrees East, estimated to be 40 kilometres east northeast of Berkeley River Mouth and 145 kilometres east of Kalumburu.

Movement: southwest at 7 kilometres per hour.

Fina has weakened to a category 3 cyclone as it begins to interact with the northeast Kimberley coast near Berkeley River Mouth. The very destructive core of Severe Tropical Cyclone Fina is forecast to cross the coast most likely near Berkeley River Mouth this evening.

Hazards:
GALES with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS to 120 km/h are occurring along the coast between King George River Mouth and the WA/NT Border, extending inland to the east of Kalumburu later this evening. These conditions are expected to ease during Tuesday as Fina moves further inland.

DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS to 155 km/h are occurring along the northeast Kimberley coast, extending to areas including King George River Mouth and Berkeley River Mouth. These conditions are expected to ease early Tuesday as Fina weakens over land.

VERY DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS to 185 km/h may be occurring over the coastal areas between King George River Mouth and Berkeley River Mouth with the coastal crossing this evening.

HEAVY to LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL, which may lead to FLASH FLOODING, is occurring on the northeast Kimberley coast and is expected to ease later on Tuesday.

Coastal residents between King George River Mouth and the WA/NT Border may see tides rise above the normal high tide mark later tonight. LARGE WAVES may produce MINOR FLOODING of low-lying coastal areas.

Recommended Action:
Western Australia DFES advises to ensure you know what to do in a cyclone. For the latest DFES community alerts and warnings visit www.emergency.wa.gov.au or download the Emergency WA app.

Next Advice:
The next advice will be issued by 6:00 pm AWST Monday 24 November.
02U.png
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king111807|2025-11-25 09:31 | 顯示全部樓層
BoM降格澳式C2

Tropical Cyclone Fina now category 2 as it continues to weaken over land near the northeast Kimberley coast.

Areas Affected:
Warning Zone
King George River Mouth to Berkeley River Mouth.

Watch Zone
None.

Cancelled Zone
None.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Fina 02U at 5:00 am AWST:
Intensity: Category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 100 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 140 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 20 kilometres of 14.4 degrees South 127.7 degrees East, estimated to be 5 kilometres southwest of Berkeley River Mouth and 110 kilometres east of Kalumburu.

Movement: slow moving.

Tropical Cyclone Fina crossed the coast at 9:30pm AWST Monday, and is now slow moving just inland of the northeast Kimberley coast near the Berkeley River Mouth. Fina is expected to weaken further today while slowly moving inland.

Hazards:
DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS to 155 km/h are occurring between King George River Mouth and southeast of Berkeley River Mouth. These conditions are expected to ease later this morning.

GALES with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS to 120 km/h are occurring along the coast between King George River Mouth and the Cambridge Gulf, and may extending to inland areas east of Kalumburu later today. These conditions are expected to ease this afternoon as Fina moves further inland and weakens.

HEAVY to LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL, which may lead to FLASH FLOODING, is occurring about the northeast Kimberley coast and adjacent inland.

Coastal residents between King George River Mouth and the WA/NT Border may see tides rise above the normal high tide mark. LARGE WAVES may produce MINOR FLOODING of low-lying coastal areas.

Recommended Action:
Western Australia DFES advises to ensure you know what to do in a cyclone. For the latest DFES community alerts and warnings visit www.emergency.wa.gov.au or download the Emergency WA app.

Next Advice:
The next advice will be issued by 9:00 am AWST Tuesday 25 November.
02U.png
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king111807|2025-11-25 09:37 | 顯示全部樓層
BoM降格澳式C1

Tropical Cyclone Fina now category 1 as it continues to weaken over land near the northeast Kimberley coast.

Area affected
Warning zone
King George River Mouth to Berkeley River Mouth, and further east to the Cambridge Gulf.

Watch zone
None.

Cancelled zone
Areas between Kalumburu and King George River Mouth, and from the Cambridge Gulf to the WA/NT Border.

At 8:00 am Australian Western Standard Time
At 8:00 am AWST

Intensity
category 1, sustained winds near the centre of 85 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 120 kilometres per hour

Location
within 20 kilometres of 14.5 degrees South, 127.7 degrees East, 10 kilometres south southwest of Berkeley River Mouth and 120 kilometres north northwest of Wyndham

Movement
slow moving

Tropical Cyclone Fina crossed the coast at 9:30pm AWST Monday, and is now slow moving just inland of the northeast Kimberley coast near the Berkeley River Mouth. Fina is expected to weaken further today while slowly moving inland.

Hazards

GALES with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS to 120 km/h are occurring along the coast and adjacent inland areas between King George River Mouth and the Cambridge Gulf. These conditions are expected to ease this afternoon as Fina moves further inland and weakens.

HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING is occurring about the northeast Kimberley coast and adjacent inland areas. A Severe Weather Warning is also being issued for possible heavy rainfall to the southeast of the Warning Zone.

Coastal residents between King George River Mouth and the WA/NT Border may see tides rise above the normal high tide mark. LARGE WAVES may produce MINOR FLOODING of low-lying coastal areas.


Recommended action
Western Australia DFES advises to ensure you know what to do in a cyclone. For the latest DFES community alerts and warnings visit www.emergency.wa.gov.au or download the Emergency WA app.
02U.png
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