t02436

91S在編號兩小時之後撤編(更正:誤編91S)
殘餘03S再度評級Low

   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.9S 89.2E,
APPROXIMATELY 500 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLAND. THIS AREA THAT
WAS PREVIOUSLY ASSOCIATED WITH TC 03S CONTINUES TO HAVE A WEAK LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLCC) AS A 131209Z AND 131102Z SSMIS CONTINUES TO
DEPICT. THE LLCC IS OVER 150 NM MILES TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
MAJORITY OF CONVECTION, WITH LITTLE TO NO CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
THE ACTUAL LLCC. WHILE DYNAMIC MODELS OVERDEVELOP THE WEAK SYSTEM,
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MARGINAL CONDITIONS WITH RELATIVELY HIGH
(20-30 KNOTS) VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND SOME POLEWARD OUTFLOW.  MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.

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