甜心

哇一夜之間又開始大爆發了美軍也重新評級修正強度上限預估值為cat1中颱下限，

這對二、三月份的西太熱帶旋而言還算不錯後期評價。

KINGRIC

對流仍在消長中
定位西南方似乎出現了一個挺明顯的LLCC
不過不太確定是不是中心所在
目前結構仍是一片散沙

jwpk9899

老J升評囉  MEDIUM 紅字那裏表示到有個弱的LLCC(只是打個大概)

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.7N
153.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 150.4E, APPROXIMATELY 445 NM
SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
DEEP CONVECTION FLARING OVER A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EVIDENT IN A 251143Z ASCAT PASS. THE DISTURBANCE LIES EQUATORWARD OF
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS, IN AN AREA OF MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR AND INCREASING POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION IS ANTICIPATED IN THE NEXT TWO TO THREE DAYS AS STRONG
NORTHEASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW TO THE NORTH INTERACTS WITH THE
DISTURBANCE AND AS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
APPROACHES A DEVELOPING BREAK IN THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE, ALLOWING
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO SUBSIDE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. BASED ON IMPROVING LOW LEVEL STRUCTURE AND
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
MEDIUM.


而過了一個晚上後
目前93W整個外表幾乎就像是個颱風了
PS:CWB定為L 1002hpa

t02436

最新!
JMA升格TD!!


TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 09N 151E WEST SLOWLY

t02436

法西即將生成!
發布TCFA!!

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.5N
150.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 149.4E, APPROXIMATELY 375 NM
SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS
A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CURVED DEEP
CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WRAPPING INTO THE
CENTER.  A 260304Z NOAA-19 MICROWAVE IMAGE ALSO REVEALS THE BULK OF
THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE NORTHERN QUADRANTS WRAPPED INTO THE
LLCC. A 260019Z PARTIAL ASCAT PASS SHOWS 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS ON THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY WITH STRONGER (25 TO 30 KNOTS) WIND BARBS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG NORTHEASTERLY FLOW. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES AN IMPROVING ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND
DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. BASED ON IMPROVING LOW-LEVEL
STRUCTURE AND FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS HIGH.

t02436

JMA發布GW!

熱帯低気圧
平成26年02月26日16時15分 発表


<26日15時の実況>
大きさ        -
強さ        -
熱帯低気圧
存在地域        トラック諸島近海
中心位置        北緯 9度50分(9.8度)
東経 151度30分(151.5度)
進行方向、速さ        西 ゆっくり
中心気圧        1002hPa
中心付近の最大風速        15m/s(30kt)
最大瞬間風速        23m/s(45kt)


<27日15時の予報>
強さ        -
存在地域        カロリン諸島
予報円の中心        北緯 9度50分(9.8度)
東経 148度00分(148.0度)
進行方向、速さ        西 ゆっくり
中心気圧        1000hPa
中心付近の最大風速        18m/s(35kt)
最大瞬間風速        25m/s(50kt)
予報円の半径        220km(120NM)

krichard2011

最新資訊 JMA 也發布 GW


熱帯低気圧
平成26年02月26日16時15分 発表

<26日15時の実況>
大きさ        -
強さ        -
熱帯低気圧
存在地域        トラック諸島近海
中心位置        北緯 9度50分(9.8度)
東経 151度30分(151.5度)
進行方向、速さ        西 ゆっくり
中心気圧        1002hPa
中心付近の最大風速        15m/s(30kt)
最大瞬間風速        23m/s(45kt)

<27日15時の予報>
強さ        -
存在地域        カロリン諸島
予報円の中心        北緯 9度50分(9.8度)
東経 148度00分(148.0度)
進行方向、速さ        西 ゆっくり
中心気圧        1000hPa
中心付近の最大風速        18m/s(35kt)
最大瞬間風速        25m/s(50kt)
予報円の半径        220km(120NM)