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krichard2011|2013-12-7 23:03
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顯示全部樓層
IMD最新一報升格強烈氣旋風暴中心風速來到55kts 未來上看VSCS
JTWC 也於剛剛升到60kts了
預測上看75kts
CDO也開始建立 底層風眼勉強出現了...
以現在的環境與型態加上行進緩慢來看
是支持發展的的
未來不排除有機會上看Cat.2 甚至 Cat.3以上
ACCORDING TO SATELLITE IMAGERIES, THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM IS T
3.5 ASSOCIATED BROKEN LOW/MEDIUM CLOUDS EMBEDDED WITH INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE
CONVECTION IS SEEN OVER THE AREA BETWEEN LATITUDE 8.5°N TO 18.5°N & LONGITUDE
80.0°N TO 89.0°E, SRILANKA AND GULF OF MANNAR. THE LOWEST CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE
(CTT) IS ABOUT -800C. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND SPEED IS ESTIMATED TO BE
ABOUT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE. THE STATE OF THE
SEA IS VERY HIGH AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
ABOUT 992 HPA.
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