(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS OF TC 05B) PERSISTED NEAR
8.9N 80.1E, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTH OF COLOMBO. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, SUPPORTED BY A 051554Z MHS METOP-B 89GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE, DEPICTS DIMINISHING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A
WEAKENING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). THE ACCOMPANYING 051553Z
METOP-B ASCAT PASS REVEALS NORTHERLY WINDS DOMINATING THE BAY OF
MANNAR, INDICATING THAT THE LLC HAS ALL BUT DISSIPATED. THE REMNANTS
OF TC 05B IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD
OUTFLOW AND FAVORABLE (15 TO 20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEING
OFFSET BY INTERACTION WITH THE INDIAN PENINSULA. GLOBAL MODELS ARE
IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE REMNANTS OF TC 05B WILL TRACK WESTWARD,
PERSISTING AS A CIRCULATION INTO THE ARABIAN SEA WITH SOME LIMITED
REINTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 05B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 9.0N 79.6E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
