簽到天數: 3291 天 [LV.Master]伴壇終老
|
t02436|2015-10-25 09:04
|
顯示全部樓層
補充一下
15Z降格TD報
ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015
1000 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015
Patricia continues to weaken rapidly over the mountains of central
Mexico. Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that
the mid- to upper-level center is now displaced to the northeast of
the surface center, and there is little organized convection
associated with the cyclone. The initial intensity is reduced to
30 kt based mainly on surface observations, and this could be
generous. Patricia is likely to degenerate to a remnant low or
trough during the next 6-12 hours as it moves northeastward into
northeastern Mexico.
A low pressure area is developing over southern Texas, with the
system forecast to move over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico later
in the weekend. This system should be non-tropical in nature.
However, the low is likely to absorb the remnants of Patricia along
with the associated moisture, and this is expected to result in
locally heavy rainfall over portions of the northwestern Gulf of
Mexico coastal area. Refer to statements from local National
Weather Service forecast offices for details on this system.
KEY MESSAGES:
1. Even though Patricia is weakening rapidly, continued very heavy
rainfall is likely to cause life- threatening flash floods and
mudslides in the Mexican states of Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima,
Michoacan and Guerrero through today.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 24/1500Z 23.9N 101.6W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 25/0000Z 26.0N 99.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Beven
NNNN
21Z停編報
ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015
400 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015
Satellite imagery and surface observations from northern Mexico
indicate that Patricia has degenerated to a remnant low pressure
area characterized by no organized convection and a poorly defined
surface circulation. The remnant low is expected to move
northeastward and weaken to a trough during the next several hours,
with the trough being absorbed by a non-tropical area of low
pressure over southern Texas tonight or on Sunday.
This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center
on Patricia. However, a threat of heavy rains continues over
portions of Mexico and the northwestern coastal areas of the Gulf of
Mexico. Future information on these rains can be found in statements
issued by local National Weather Service forecast offices and the
Meteorological Service of Mexico.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 24/2100Z 25.3N 100.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Beven
NNNN
|
本帖子中包含更多資源
您需要 登錄 才可以下載或查看，沒有賬號？立即加入
x
|
