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krichard2011|2014-2-6 16:16
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顯示全部樓層
MFR 編號11R上看80kt (TC)
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 1/11/20132014
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 11
2.A POSITION 2014/02/06 AT 0600 UTC:
WITHIN 21 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8 S / 70.6 E
(TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES
EAST)
MOVEMENT : WEST 6 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 2.0/2.0/D 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1000 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 25 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) :NIL
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 300 SE: 300 SW: 260 NW: 240
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1005 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2014/02/06 18 UTC: 13.0 S / 70.3 E, MAX WIND=030 KT, TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24H: 2014/02/07 06 UTC: 13.6 S / 70.1 E, MAX WIND=040 KT, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM
36H: 2014/02/07 18 UTC: 14.3 S / 70.5 E, MAX WIND=055 KT, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM
48H: 2014/02/08 06 UTC: 15.0 S / 71.8 E, MAX WIND=070 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE
60H: 2014/02/08 18 UTC: 16.1 S / 73.9 E, MAX WIND=080 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE
72H: 2014/02/09 06 UTC: 18.9 S / 74.9 E, MAX WIND=080 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK :
96H: 2014/02/10 06 UTC: 24.0 S / 71.3 E, MAX WIND=070 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE
120H: 2014/02/11 06 UTC: 24.9 S / 65.2 E, MAX WIND=070 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE
2.C ADDITIONA
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