13S.Edilson 進入高緯轉化中＊

krichard2011 · 2014-2-5 10:23

MFR命名 Edilson不過強度只上看 45 kt而已

WTIO30 FMEE 050114 CCA
CORRECTIVE ABOUT PGTW DVORAK ESTIMATES**************
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 4/10/20132014
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 10 (EDILSON)
2.A POSITION 2014/02/05 AT 0000 UTC:
  WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.6 S / 59.7 E
  (SIXTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST)
  MOVEMENT : SOUTH 5 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 2.0/2.0/D 0.5/18 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 995 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 35 KT
  RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) :93 KM
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
  28 KT NE: 190 SE: 200 SW: 190 NW: 0
  34 KT NE: SE: 130 SW: 130 NW:
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1005 HPA / 700 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
  12H: 2014/02/05 12 UTC: 18.1 S / 59.1 E, MAX WIND=040 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
  24H: 2014/02/06 00 UTC: 19.5 S / 58.4 E, MAX WIND=045 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
  36H: 2014/02/06 12 UTC: 21.4 S / 57.1 E, MAX WIND=045 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
  48H: 2014/02/07 00 UTC: 24.0 S / 55.4 E, MAX WIND=045 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
  60H: 2014/02/07 12 UTC: 26.8 S / 53.3 E, MAX WIND=045 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
  72H: 2014/02/08 00 UTC: 28.8 S / 51.1 E, MAX WIND=045 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM

2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK :
  96H: 2014/02/09 00 UTC: 32.4 S / 47.5 E, MAX WIND=040 KT, POST-TROPICAL
  DEPRESSION 120H: 2014/02/10 00 UTC: 36.4 S / 45.3 E, MAX WIND=040 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS:
  T=CI=2.0+