jwpk9899

Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert WTPN21 Cancelled
Issued at 24/2100Z
TCFA取消了...不過目前對流還是維持得不錯 看看囉。

1. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH ALOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OFMANZANILLO MEXICO HAS BECOME LESS DEFINED TODAY.  NEVERTHELESS...SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE DURING THENEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURSAS IT MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 MPH.
機率也降至40% MEDIUM了

...

其實東太的SST較高區域不大 之前90E就已在此區邊緣 而今漸漸移出此區 SST日降也影響到他的發展 未來機會持續減低...不看好

HKWCFC網主

jwpk9899 發表於 2012-7-25 10:24
Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert WTPN21 Cancelled
Issued at 24/2100Z
TCFA取消了...不過目前對流還是維 ...

閣下的看法, 我不太認同
看過你的圖片, 90E好像不太有組織
對流尚算旺盛但十分散亂.......
風力更不用談(圖)