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2509 柯羅莎 非正報命名 加速東北行 轉化溫氣

簽到天數: 3437 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

king111807|2025-7-28 05:43 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC升格C1

WTPN31 PGTW 272100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 12W (KROSA) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 12W (KROSA) WARNING NR 017   
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   271800Z --- NEAR 24.4N 145.3E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N 145.3E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   280600Z --- 26.5N 144.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   281800Z --- 27.8N 144.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   290600Z --- 28.5N 144.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   291800Z --- 28.9N 144.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   301800Z --- 29.4N 144.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   311800Z --- 30.5N 145.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   011800Z --- 32.1N 146.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
272100Z POSITION NEAR 24.9N 145.2E.
27JUL25. TYPHOON 12W (KROSA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 716 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 271800Z IS
964 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 32 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z, 280900Z, 281500Z AND 282100Z. REFER
TO TROPICAL STORM 11W (CO-MAY) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN
wp1225 (1).gif
12W_271800sair.jpg
KROSA.png
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簽到天數: 3437 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

king111807|2025-8-4 18:54 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC發布FW

WTPN31 PGTW 032100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 12W (KROSA) WARNING NR 045//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 12W (KROSA) WARNING NR 045   
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   031800Z --- NEAR 42.0N 160.3E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 22 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 42.0N 160.3E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   040600Z --- 43.2N 166.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 23 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   041800Z --- 43.8N 172.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
    ---
REMARKS:
032100Z POSITION NEAR 42.3N 161.7E.
03AUG25. TROPICAL STORM 12W (KROSA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 866 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 22 KTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ELONGATED AND HEAVILY SHEARED SYSTEM,
WITH NEARLY FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND
REMAINING ASSOCIATED CONVECTION TO THE EAST. ADDITIONALLY, AN OLDER
021048Z METOP-B ASCAT IMAGE SHOWED HIGHLY ASYMMETRIC WIND FIELD,
WITH HIGHER INTENSITIES ALONG THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL,
DUE TO CROSSING INTO THE BAROCLINIC ZONE TO THE NORTH. TS 12W IS
POSITIONED POLEWARD OF A WESTERN EXTENSION OF A SUBTROPICAL JET.
ASSESSMENT IS SUPPORTED BY GFS AND ECMWF PHASE CYCLONE DIAGRAMS.
ADDITIONALLY, VERY COLD (17-18 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND
INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ARE CREATING AN INCREASINGLY HOSTILE
ENVIRONMENT FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS
IN STRONG AGREEMENT IN REGARD TO THE TRACK AND INTENSITY, RESULTING
IN HIGH CONFIDENCE OF THE OFFICIAL JTWC FORECAST. THIS IS THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 031800Z IS 983 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 13W (BAILU)
WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN
wp1225.gif
rb-animated.gif
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簽到天數: 3437 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

king111807|2025-8-4 18:56 | 顯示全部樓層
JMA判定轉化溫帶氣旋

台風第9号(クローサ)
2025年08月04日16時05分発表
04日15時の実況
種別        温帯低気圧
大きさ        -
強さ        -
存在地域        日本のはるか東
中心位置        北緯43度00分 (43.0度)
東経166度00分 (166.0度)
進行方向、速さ        東北東 35 km/h (20 kt)
中心気圧        990 hPa
螢幕擷取畫面 2025-08-04 185552.png
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