t02436

已登陸墨西哥圖盧姆。

000
WTNT65 KNHC 031658
TCUAT5

Tropical Storm Gamma Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL252020
1200 PM CDT Sat Oct 03 2020

...GAMMA MAKES LANDFALL NEAR TULUM, MEXICO...

Surface observations and satellite images indicate that the center
of Tropical Storm Gamma made landfall in the northeast Yucatan
Peninsula near Tulum, Mexico, around 1145 AM CDT.  The storm was
very close to hurricane strength at landfall, with maximum
sustained winds near 70 MPH (110 MPH) with higher gusts.

A weather station at Xel-Ha Park, along the Yucatan coast just
north of Tulum, reported a sustained wind of 55 mph (89 km/h) and a
gust to 68 mph (109 km/h) within the past hour.


SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CDT...1700 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 87.5W
ABOUT 0 MI...0 KM N OF TULUM MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Pasch

老農民版夜神月

出海後中心已經裸露,大幅減弱,預估將在墨西哥近海迂迴後再次登陸

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  05/1500Z 22.3N  87.6W   40 KT  45 MPH
12H  06/0000Z 22.1N  88.4W   40 KT  45 MPH
24H  06/1200Z 21.6N  89.2W   35 KT  40 MPH
36H  07/0000Z 20.9N  89.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
48H  07/1200Z 20.2N  90.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
60H  08/0000Z 20.3N  89.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
72H  08/1200Z 21.0N  89.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
96H  09/1200Z...DISSIPATED

老農民版夜神月

NHC判定03Z已退化為殘餘低氣壓

AL, 25, 2020100600,   , BEST,   0, 219N,  882W,  30, 1005, TD,

000
WTNT45 KNHC 060231
TCDAT5

Post-Tropical Cyclone Gamma Discussion Number  15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL252020
1000 PM CDT Mon Oct 05 2020

Gamma was entirely devoid of convection for most of the day. Shortly
before sunset, a few disorganized thunderstorms developed to the
southeast of the cyclone's center, however these appear to be forced
at least in part by a sea breeze boundary and are not exclusively
associated with Gamma. A few other small cells of convection have
developed to the west of Gamma's center during the past hour or so,
but not nearly enough to be considered sufficiently organized to
meet the requirement for a tropical cyclone. Gamma is therefore now
considered to be post-tropical and this will be the last NHC
advisory.

The cyclone could still produce some additional disorganized
convection and periods of heavy rain overnight as it moves inland
over the Yucatan peninsula, but this is not expected to result in
significant regeneration. Some of this rain could impact areas that
are preparing for the much more significant approach of Hurricane
Delta in a day or so. The cyclone is moving southwestward near
5 kt, and this should continue for another day or so until it
dissipates. The winds associated with Gamma's remnants should
gradually weaken through that time, though the system could still
produce a few areas of heavy rain over southeastern Mexico.

It is worth noting that several model trackers, and consequently
the consensus aids, depict that Gamma will move northward over the
Gulf of Mexico and strengthen significantly in a couple of days.
This is because the trackers lose track of Gamma when it dissipates
and start following nearby Hurricane Delta instead. In reality, no
models forecast that Gamma will remain a well-defined cyclone for
more than another day or two.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  06/0300Z 21.6N  88.4W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H  06/1200Z 21.1N  88.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
24H  07/0000Z 20.2N  89.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
36H  07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky