ktf

現在就是小鋼砲了,危險半圓側螺旋雨帶發達
西北直接登陸下去,東向限狂掃有40m/s陣風的可能

會拖一點西南風北上,看中南部山區能否再多吃一點
曾文進帳如之前所說,不是多樂觀
路徑越西,水氣就會被帶開

Heigo

中度颱風 哈格比 解除海上颱風警報

天篷大元帥

中央氣象局：解除颱風警報

中度颱風 哈格比（國際命名 HAGUPIT ）解除颱風警報
編號第4號颱風警報 第15報
發布時間：08/03 23:30

颱風現況
中心位置：
3日23時的中心位置在北緯 27.2 度，東經 121.5 度，即在上海的南方約 440 公里之海面上
前進方向：
以每小時22公里速度，向北北西進行
中心氣壓：
978百帕
近中心最大風速：
近中心最大風速每秒 33 公尺（約每小時 119 公里），相當於 12 級風
瞬間之最大陣風：
瞬間最大陣風每秒 43 公尺（約每小時 155 公里），相當於 14 級風
暴風半徑：
七級風暴風半徑 100 公里，十級風暴風半徑 40 公里
颱風預測
預測4日23時的中心位置在北緯 31.6 度，東經 119.6 度，即在上海的西北西方約 170 公里之處

副熱帶高壓脊

哈格比的風眼開始受陸地影響，西邊被填塞中，來幅登陸前的色彩調化和紅外光。
看色彩調化還以爲南海的對流就是哈格比，雲頂溫度低它很多，當然只是嘲諷。

老農民版夜神月

已於3:30左右登陸浙江樂清

颱風快訊
2020年總177期
中國氣象局中央氣象台08月04日03時36分
今年第4號颱風“黑格比”（颱風級）的中心已於04日03時30分前後在浙江樂清沿海登陸，登陸時中心附近最大風力有13級（38米/秒），中心最低氣壓970百帕。

ben811018

凌晨左右登陸
台州雕鷹山已測得６０.２m/s

Meow

https://commons.wikimedia.org/wi ... 020-08-03_1710Z.jpg

老農民版夜神月

JTWC04/15Z發布Final Warning

WTPN31 PGTW 041500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (HAGUPIT) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (HAGUPIT) WARNING NR 015   
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   041200Z --- NEAR 30.8N 120.2E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   REPEAT POSIT: 30.8N 120.2E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   050000Z --- 33.5N 120.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 16 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   051200Z --- 36.3N 122.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
041500Z POSITION NEAR 31.5N 120.3E.
04AUG20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (HAGUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
71 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SHANGHAI, CHINA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION SHEARED OVER THE SOUTHEAST
QUADRANT. THE POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON A
COMBINATION OF PGTW AND RJTD FIXES AND THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION FEATURE IN THE COMPOSITE RADAR LOOP. THE INTENSITY
IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON MULTIPLE SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
THAT HAVE CONTINUED TO DEPICT A WEAKENING SYSTEM. TD HAGUPIT WILL
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO A MIXTURE OF TERRAIN
EFFECTS, HIGH (25+ KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND LACK OF UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. BY TAU 12 THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE YELLOW SEA AND
DISSIPATE OVER WATER. DESPITE DISSIPATION, GALE FORCE WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE EAST CHINA SEA ARE
FORECAST TO PERSIST. DYNAMIC MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE IN TIGHT AGREEMENT,
LENDING HIGH OVERALL CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. THIS IS
THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL
HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION.//
NNNN