martin191919

  中度颱風  
編號：1509 ( 09 W )
名稱： 昌鴻 ( Chan-hom )


  基本資料  
擾動編號日期：2015 年 06 月 25 日 12 時
命名日期　　：2015 年 06 月 30 日 20 時
轉化日期　　：2015 年 07 月 13 日 08 時
登陸地點　　：中國 浙江省 舟山市 朱家尖鎮
                         北韓 黃道
颱風警報總計：海上警報 19 報
                         陸上警報 09 報

  巔峰時期資料  
近中心最強風速
中央氣象局 (CWB)：48 m/s ( 15 級 )
日本氣象廳 (JMA) ：45 m/s ( 90 kt )
聯合颱風警報中心 (JTWC)  ：120 kts ( CAT.4 )
                                                   
最低氣壓與暴風圈半徑
海平面最低氣壓： 935 百帕
七級風半徑　　： 280 公里
十級風半徑　　： 100 公里

  過去路徑圖  


  討論帖圖片  
95W INVEST 150625 0000   4.0N  159.0E WPAC   15   NA              


以上資料來自：CWB、JMA、JTWC、颱風論壇整理製作

t02436

JTWC評級Low

(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 4.0N 159.3E,
APPROXIMATELY 186 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED EIR
DEPICTS FLARING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LLCC. A
251024Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS A 10 TO 15 KNOT ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH
STRONGER (25 TO 30 KNOT) WINDS WELL SOUTH OF THE CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN AREA OF LOW TO
MODERATE (05 TO 15 KNOT) VWS AND FAIR DIFFLUENCE ALOFT.  MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.

980256

不知道95w熱帶擾動會北轉，還是通過臺灣北部海面?

martin191919

在西太南太混戰下只剩下95W有評級LOW

(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.0N 159.3E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.8N 159.8E, APPROXIMATELY 212 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A LARGE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN ILL-DEFINED LLCC. A 260359Z NOAA-19 MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS WEAK FRAGMENTED CONVECTIVE BANDING BROADLY WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN AREA OF LOW TO MODERATE (05 TO 15 KNOT) VWS AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

stan

預測似乎是龐然大物，兼併了旁邊的系統!時間還久,繼續觀察吧.....

ben811018

比較有趣的是
會先上演一場雙旋共舞

zjk369

以後不再發了