APPROXIMATELY 290 NM SOUTH OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS AND PERSISTENT DEEP
CONVECTION OVER A DISORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THE DISTURBANCE LIES TO THE SOUTH OF
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS, IN AN AREA OF MODERATE DIVERGENCE AND
LOW (10 TO 15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. A 222306Z 85 GHZ TRMM
MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS SCATTERED AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION
OVER THE NORTHWESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANTS OF THE LLCC. A
222343Z PARTIAL ASCAT PASS SHOWS AN ELONGATED LLCC WITH 10 KNOTS
NEAR THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM AND A FEW 15 KNOT WESTERLY WINDS OVER
THE SOUTHERN PORTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.