(3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
15.7S 119.2E, APPROXIMATELY 217 NM NORTH OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA.
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 070532Z AMSR2
89GHZ SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICT FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A
CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION IN THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. A 070147Z ASCAT-C IMAGE REVEALS A BROAD
CIRCULATION WITH AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF MOSTLY 15-20KT WINDS IN THE
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. INVEST 99S IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (<15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GOOD OUTFLOW
ALOFT, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE
IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 99S WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK
SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS AUSTRALIA WITH SOME CONSOLIDATION BEFORE
MAKING LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15
TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
