krichard2011

BoM 升格熱低 預測出海後仍有機會達到一級熱帶氣旋

alu

它能在澳洲陸地上打轉那麼久沒有減弱已經不錯了，我還是第一次看見熱帶擾動在陸地上沒有減弱或消失不見的:loveliness:

t02436

JTWC 01Z取消評級

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.9S
134.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.0S 134.6E, 300NM SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN,
AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED COMPOSITE RADAR FROM TINDAL, AUSTRALIA,
INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED FURTHER SOUTHEASTWARD INLAND AND IS
NO LONGER EXPECTED TO EMERGE OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA.
CONSEQUENTLY, THIS DISTURBANCE IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

BoM 01Z預測系統不會進入卡奔塔利亞灣，不再上望一級熱帶氣旋
此報為該系統最後一報。

Details of Tropical Low at 9:30 am ACST:

Intensity: tropical low, sustained winds near the centre of 30 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 75 kilometres of 15.4 degrees South, 134.6 degrees East , 75 kilometres south of Ngukurr and 195 kilometres west northwest of Borroloola .
Movement: east at 10 kilometres per hour .

A tropical low over the western Carpentaria District is expected to move east to southeast and be located near the southwest Gulf of Carpentaria coast during the next few days. The tropical low is no longer expected to spend enough time over water to develop into a tropical cyclone.

Next Issue
There will be no further Forecast Track Maps issued for this system unless it reintensifies.

甜心

:o它天生所在的地理條件不佳使它的中心受到地形破壞結構嚴重受損發展受阻，目前JTWC 已經取消的評價若無法盡快穿越北澳東北角地區進入海洋的話它恐怕將被刪編。