10E.Julio 高緯環境轉差持續減弱

CX723-A330 · 2014-8-7 16:36

Cat2達標(85kts)

形態不錯，可惜沒有人理會她
強度可能不比Iselle差

t02436 · 2014-8-8 00:15

底層眼大致完成了
只是北側看來是薄弱了點
環流跟ISELLE依樣屬於迷你型

NHC 15Z調升至90KT
預測從夏威夷北方掃過
研判是前方OHC相當低
所以暫定巔峰即是現在

東中太低緯風切真是不可思議的微弱= =

GFS持續預測會在25N西行進入西太
持續觀望

krichard2011 · 2014-8-8 08:49

跟前一個Iselle 一樣
雖然看似對流貧弱
但結構還算相當不錯
MODIS-Terra的也出來了

CX723-A330 · 2014-8-8 11:02

已升格Cat.3

t02436 · 2014-8-8 11:40

靠近140W
09Z轉交CPHC發報
預計從夏威夷北方近海通過

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCPCP4 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA34 PHFO...BEGINNING AT 1100 PM HST.

雖然底層北側仍舊薄弱
整體來說結構真的頗佳

GFS18Z改在換日線前北折
EC則持續支持進入西太

蜜露 · 2014-8-8 16:06

對流雖然不強

不過水汽圖展現了另一種美感~

... · 2014-8-8 16:40

本帖最後由 ... 於 2014-8-8 16:44 編輯

剛剛NHC給出105KT(原本甚至給110偷偷修下來北面對流有些貧弱不過整個結構還是不差
未來短期強度預計持平不久後就會轉入中太平洋 :
2. The National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on hurricane Julio located about a thousand miles east of Hilo, Hawaii. Future advisories will be issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center under AWIPS header TCPCP4 and WMO header WTPA34 PHFO.
屆時就會轉由CPHC發報