02B.Phailin 深入內陸喜馬拉雅山降''颱風雪''＊

jwpk9899 · 2013-10-10 14:12

IMD似乎升SCS(強氣旋風暴)了
強度45kt 氣壓....996hpa
持續上看VSCS
不過現在外表感覺至少C1以上了~

Meow · 2013-10-10 15:05

高層風眼即將清空。

資料顯示美國稍早給最大風速 65 節，等同一級颶風下限。

pc047869 · 2013-10-10 15:23

http://tw.news.yahoo.com/特強氣旋風暴將侵襲東印度-053738034.html

特強氣旋風暴將侵襲東印度

（中央社記者何宏儒新德里10日專電）印度氣象局發布警報，孟加拉灣的氣旋風暴「斐林」，明天將發展成特強氣旋風暴，並在後天掃過東印部分地區。

孟加拉灣中部偏東的1個低氣壓，在橫掃北安達曼群島（Andaman Islands）後增強為氣旋風暴斐林（Phailin）。

印度氣象局今天上午8時30分（台北時間11時）發布的最新氣旋警報，斐林位在距東印奧里薩（Orissa）省帕拉迪普（Paradip）港850公里處，未來12小時將發展成強烈氣旋風暴，並朝西北方向前進。

警報說，斐林11日傍晚5時30分會增強為特強氣旋風暴，「它將以最大持續風速時速175到185公里，在12日晚間掃過安德拉省（Andhra Pradesh）北部卡林加巴南（Kalingapatnam）村和帕拉迪普間的海岸」。

氣象局預測斐林的強度12日傍晚5時30分會減為強烈氣旋風暴。

警報說，安達曼與尼古巴群島局部地區未來12小時內降雨量恐逾250毫米；未來24小時內當地及鄰近海面強風將達時速50到70公里。

「印度人報」（The Hindu）網站即時報導，奧里薩省海岸地區將遭遇強風暴雨，省長巴奈克（NaveenPatnaik）昨天召集防災會議，並指示救難官員進駐易受氣旋侵襲的14個縣，待命疏散低窪地區民眾。其中6個縣設置的24小時指揮中心已開始運作。

報導說，1個超級氣旋風暴1999年10月29到31日重創奧里薩省14個縣，帶來時速高達300公里的強風，帶走約1萬條人命。

jwpk9899 · 2013-10-10 18:35

本帖最後由 jwpk9899 於 2013-10-10 18:35 編輯

嚇死我了
IMD飆到65kt
升格特強氣旋風暴了

Time of issue: 0230 hours IST Dated: 10-10-2013
Bulletin No.: BOB 04/2013/15 (Orange Message)
Sub: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm, PHAILIN in East central Bay of Bengal:
Cyclone Warning for North Andhra Pradesh and Orissa Coast.
The Severe cyclonic storm, PHAILIN over east central Bay of Bengal moved
Northwest wards, intensified into a very severe cyclonic storm and lay centred at 1130 hrs IST of
today the 10th October 2013 near latitude 15.00N and longitude 90.50E, about 800km southeast of
Paradip, 850km east-southeast of Kalingapatnam, and 870 km east-southeast of Visakhapatnam.
It would continue to move northwestwards and cross north Andhra Pradesh and Odisha coast
between Kalingapatnam and Paradip, close to Gopalpur (Odisha) by evening of 12th October,
2013 as a very severe cyclonic storm with a maximum sustained wind speed of 175-185 kmph.
Based on latest analysis with NWP models and other conventional techniques, estimated track
and intensity of the system are given in the Table below:
Date/Time(IST) Position
(Lat. 0N/ Long. 0E)
Sustained maximum surface
wind speed (kmph)
Category
10-10-2013/1130 15.0/90.5 120-130 gusting to 140 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
10-10-2013/1730 15.4/89.7 130-140 gusting to 150 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
10-10-2013/2330 15.8/89.0 140-150 gusting to 160 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
11-10-2013/0530 16.2/88.2 150-160 gusting to 170 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
11-10-2013/1130 16.6/87.5 160-170 gusting to 185 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
11-10-2013/2330 17.4/86.3 170-180 gusting to 200 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
12-10-2013/1130 18.5/85.4 175-185 gusting to 200 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
12-10-2013/2330 19.9/84.7 175-185 gusting to 200 Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
13-10-2013/1130 20.6/84.6 75-85 gusting to 95 Cyclonic storm
13-10-2013/2330 22.0/84.2 50-60 gusting to 70 Deep Depression