周子堯@FB

基本資料  
編號　　　　：22 S
擾動編號日期：2022 年 03 月 18 日 05 時
撤編日期　　：2022 年 03 月 00 日 00 時
94S INVEST 220317 1800 6.9S 92.9E SHEM 20 1007

周子堯@FB

94S評級Medium

  (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 9.0S 89.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.7S 86.8E, APPROXIMATELY 855 NM
EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
202227Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
(VWS), GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (SSTS). GLOBAL MODELS AGREE THAT INVEST 94S WILL
CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE AND DEVELOP AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS
SOUTHWESTWARD AND WILL REACH TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CRITERIA IN
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
MEDIUM.

蜜露

哈利馬最高曾到Cat.4的強度 .