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老農民版夜神月|2021-7-28 22:32
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JTWC發布Final Warning
WTPN33 PGTW 281500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 021//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 021
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
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WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 40.9N 138.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 40.9N 138.5E
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FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 41.4N 136.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS
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24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 41.3N 135.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
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REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 41.0N 138.0E.
28JUL21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (NEPARTAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
127 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 11W REMAINS
ASSESSED AS A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION. 11W HAS REEMERGED OVER WATER
AFTER QUICKLY TRAVERSING ACROSS NORTHERN HONSHU. HOWEVER THE OVERALL
CIRCULATION WAS SIGNIFICANTLY DEGRADED DUE TO TERRAIN INTERACTION.
THE INITIAL POSITION IS ASSESSED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE
EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IN ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED IMAGERY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE BASED ON A SERIES OF SCATTEROMETER PASSES NEAR THE
280900Z HOUR, WHICH CONFIRMED A SMALL AREA OF 25 KNOT WINDS CONFINED
TO THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE CIRCULATION. OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS, THE DEVELOPMENT OF UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENT FLOW, INCREASING
NORTHERLY VWS AND ENTRAINMENT OF MID-LEVEL DRY AIR, WILL SERVE TO
DISSIPATE 11W OVER THE NORTHERN SEA OF JAPAN. THIS IS THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z
IS 10 FEET.//
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