老農民版夜神月

  基本資料  
編號               ：94 S
擾動編號日期 ：2021 年 03 月 18 日 09 時
撤編日期        ：2021 年 03 月 00 日 00 時
94S.INVEST.15kts.999mb.14.6S.121.4E

老農民版夜神月

BoM暫時不支持其能成旋

A trough lies well to the north of the Pilbara coast. A weak low has formed to the west of the Kimberley coast but is not expected to develop into a tropical cyclone. It will remain fairly stationary over the next few days increasing shower and storm activity over the northwest Kimberley before weakening into a trough again on Sunday.


Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Thursday:Very Low
Friday:Very Low
Saturday:Very Low

老農民版夜神月

數值亦不看好這個位於澳洲西北方海域的擾動

老農民版夜神月

BoM升格其為熱帶低壓

A trough extends off the northwest Kimberley coast. A weak tropical low lies near 15S 121E, but is not expected to develop into a tropical cyclone. It will remain fairly stationary before dissipating on Sunday or Monday. The trough will continue to enhance shower and thunderstorm activity over the Kimberley for the next few days.


Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Friday:Very Low
Saturday:Very Low
Sunday:Very Low

dom

BoM在未來三天展望中已不再提到94S

At 2pm WST Sunday 21 March a tropical low (21U) was located near 11.5S 93.0E, about 425 kilometres to the west of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands and moving west northwest at about 8 km/h. The system will slowly develop over the next few days as it moves west, further away from the Islands with a Low risk it develops into a tropical cyclone on Wednesday.
There remains uncertainty in it's movement and development from Thursday, where it may continue to take a westward track, remain a tropical low and move out of the region. However, if the system slows down on Wednesday, it may remain within the region and in a generally favourable environment for development, increasing the risk of a tropical cyclone later in the week. Given the divergence in scenarios, there is a Low risk on Thursday that this system is a tropical cyclone within the region.
The Indian Ocean Islands are not expected to be impacted by this system.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Tuesday: Very Low
Wednesday: Low
Thursday: Low