92W 菲東低緯擾動

0908morakot · 2021-3-8 19:16

  基本資料
編號             ：92 W
擾動編號日期：2021 年 03 月 08 日 18 時
撤編日期       ：2021 年 03 月 11 日 20 時
92W.INVEST.15kts.1004mb.4N.137E
20210308.1050.himawari-8.ir.92W.INVEST.15kts.1004mb.4N.137E.100pc.jpg

20210308.1050.himawari-8.ir.92W.INVEST.15kts.1004mb.4N.137E.100pc.jpg

老農民版夜神月 · 2021-3-9 07:19

數值暫時是比較的不看好92W的發展，JMA認為48H內將維持LPA

20210308204200_0_Z__C_010000_20210308180000_MET_CHT_JCIasas_JCP600x512_JRcolor_T.png

20210308203430_0_Z__C_010000_20210308120000_MET_CHT_JCIfsas48_JCP600x512_JRcolor.png

老農民版夜神月 · 2021-3-9 07:24

雲圖及有些模糊不清的SSMI掃描
20210308.2250.himawari-8.ir.92W.INVEST.15kts.1008mb.5.5N.134.4E.100pc.jpg

20210308.2250.himawari-8.vis.92W.INVEST.15kts.1008mb.5.5N.134.4E.100pc.jpg

20210308.1853.f15.85rgb.92W.INVEST.15kts.1008mb.5.5N.134.4E.070pc.jpg

20210308.1853.f15.85h.92W.INVEST.15kts.1008mb.5.5N.134.4E.070pc.jpg

老農民版夜神月 · 2021-3-13 17:38

雖已撤編,但SSD反而開始對其分析,T1.0/1.0

TXPQ28 KNES 130622
TCSWNP

A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE

B.  13/0530Z

C.  8.9N

D.  120.5E

E.  THREE/HIMAWARI-8

F.  T1.0/1.0

G.  IR/EIR/VIS

H.  REMARKS...THIS INTENSITY ESTIMATE WAS DERIVED USING 4 KM IR
DATA. GREATER THAN 2/10 BANDING YIELDS A DT=1.0. THE MET=PT=1.0. FT IS
BASED ON DT.

I.  ADDL POSITIONS

NIL

...SANDUSKY

老農民版夜神月 · 2021-3-14 15:19

SSD00Z一度對其殘餘分析T1.5/1.5,至06Z則降為T1.0/1.5

20210314 0530 10.2  -120.5    T1.0/1.5    IN1  INVEST
20210313 2330 10.1  -121.0    T1.5/1.5    IN1  INVEST
20210313 1730 10.0  -120.4    T1.0/1.0    IN1  INVEST
20210313 1130    9.1  -120.4    T1.0/1.0    IN1  INVEST

TXPQ28 KNES 140629
TCSWNP

A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE

B.  14/0530Z

C.  10.2N

D.  120.5E

E.  THREE/HIMAWARI-8

F.  T1.0/1.5

G.  IR/EIR/SWIR

H.  REMARKS...THIS INTENSITY ESTIMATE WAS DERIVED USING 4 KM IR
DATA. SPIRAL LOOSELY DEFINED CLOUD LINES GREATER THAN 75 NM FROM A SMALL
COLD OVERCAST YIELDS A DT=1.0. THE MET AND PT AGREE AND ARE LESS THAN
1.0. FT IS BASED ON CONSTRAINTS.

I.  ADDL POSITIONS

NIL

...SANDUSKY
e-TRaP
Awaiting Forecast and/or Microwave Imagery(K)

MTCSWA
Awaiting Data