ABIO10 PGTW 101300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
/REISSUED/101300Z-101800ZJUN2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94B) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
16.6N 88.5E, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTH OF KOLKATA, INDIA. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LOW LEVEL BANDING WRAPPING
INTO A WELL DEFINED LLCC. A 100315Z ASCAT-A IMAGE ALSO SHOWS A WELL
DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH 10-15 KNOT WINDS. 94B IS CURRENTLY IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (<15 KNOTS) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR, GOOD WESTWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 94B WILL
CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY WHILE TRACKING GENERALLY NORTHWARD. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
ABIO10 PGTW 111330
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
/REISSUED/111330Z-111800ZJUN2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 16.6N 88.5E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.