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天篷大元帥|2020-5-16 16:17
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聯合颱風警報中心:GG
聯合颱風警報中心原文:
WTPN31 PGTW 160900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (VONGFONG) WARNING NR 019//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (VONGFONG) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
160600Z --- NEAR 19.3N 120.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N 120.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 20.6N 121.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 22.2N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
160900Z POSITION NEAR 19.6N 120.6E.
16MAY20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W (VONGFONG), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 101 NM NORTH OF VIGAN, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED
NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS THE SYSTEM CONTINUED TO
RAPIDLY DECAY AS IT DRIFTED INTO THE LUZON STRAIT WITH A RAGGED,
EXPOSED, ELONGATED, AND WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) AND THE
REMNANT CONVECTION SHEARED 120NM EASTWARD OF THE LLC. THE INITIAL
POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE MSI LOOP. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS EXTRAPOLATED FROM RECENT ASCAT PASS AND
CONSISTENT WITH NEARBY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INCLUDING LAOAG, AND HELD
LOWER THAN THE CONSTRAINED PGTW DVORAK ESTIMATE. TD VONGFONG WILL
CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY ERODE AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD INTO EVEN
STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (30KTS+) LEADING TO DISSIPATION BY TAU
12. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z
IS 10 FEET.//
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機器翻譯(僅供參考):
WTPN31 PGTW 160900
MSGID / GENADMIN /聯合颱風白珍珠港HI //
SUBJ /熱帶低氣壓01W(VONGFONG)警告NR 019 //
RMKS /
1.熱帶低氣壓01W(VONGFONG)警告NR 019
01
最大西太平洋地區基於
僅在開放水域上的一分鐘平均風半徑有效值
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警告位置:
160600Z-近19.3N 120.5E
運動過去六小時-035度在16 KTS
位置上精確到
中心位於030 NM 位置衛星
目前的
風向分佈:最大持續風-025 KT,GUSTS 035 KT
風在開放水域上的有效半徑僅
作為重要的熱帶
旋風在水流重複位置上散發:19.3N 120.5E
---
預測:
12 HRS,
有效期在:161800Z --- 20.6N 121.1E
最大持續風-020 KT,必須為030 KT
風徑有效值僅在顯著的
熱帶氣旋作用下在開放水域上有效,在
24 HR位置上
作為水力旋流器使用:020度/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS,有效期:170600Z --- 22.2N 121.8E
最大持續風速-020 KT ,GUST 030 KT在
開放水域的有效半徑僅
作為顯著的熱帶氣旋在水上散發
---
備註:
160900Z位置,靠近19.6N 120.6E。
20MAY20。位於
菲律賓維岡以北約101海裡的熱帶低壓(TD)01W(VONGFONG),
在過去的六小時內以16節的速度向東北行進。最佳動畫
多光譜衛星圖像(MSI)顯示系統持續
快速衰減,因為它漂到呂宋海峽與一個衣衫襤褸,
曝光,拉長,弱低級循環(LLC)和
的LLC REMNANT對流剪切120Nm的東移。初始
位置基於MSI LOOP,具有公平的信任感。的
初始強度進行外推,最近ASCAT PASS AND
WITH附近地表觀測,包括拉瓦格一致的,並召開
低於受約束的PGTW DVORAK估算值。TD VONGFONG將
繼續向東北侵蝕,直至進入甚至更強的
垂直風剪(30KTS +),直到TAU
12 消散。這是聯合
颱風“白珍珠港”對本系統的最後警告。該系統將被密切監控,以查看是否有
再生跡象。160600Z處的最大波高為
10英尺.//
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