簽到天數: 868 天 [LV.10]以壇為家III
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jrchang5|2019-9-4 03:43
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JTWC直至03/1830Z始取消TCFA,並直接撤評。
WTPN21 PGTW 031830
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 94W) CANCELLATION//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/022121ZSEP2019//
AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 022130). THE AREA OF
CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) HAS PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 113.9E, IS
NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 108.5E, APPROXIMATELY 134 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST
OF HUE, VIETNAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
031411Z 89GHZ METOP-B MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A WEAK LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH SOME FLARING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (10-15KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
AND MODERATE DIVERGENCE. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE AT
28-29C. GLOBAL MODELS ARE HAVING TROUBLE RESOLVING THE SYSTEM DUE TO
INTERACTION WITH TD 16W TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS NO LONGER EXISTS.//
NNNN TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 17.9N 111.8E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
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