(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
16.5S 162.1E, APPROXIMATELY 365 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT VILA,
VANUATU. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE DEPICTS A FULLY
EXPOSED LLCC. A 061419Z AMSR-2 89GHZ MICROWAVE DEPICTS FLARING
CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS DEPICTS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS) WITH
MODERATELY FAVORABLE OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE
(28-30 CELSIUS). GLOBAL MODELS SHOW LIMITED DEVELOPMENT OVER THE
NEXT 48-72 HOURS WITH A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK, OR POTENTIAL MERGING
WITH THE REMNANTS OF TC 05P TO THE WEST AS BOTH ARE STEERED
SOUTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20
TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
JTWC已於12080600Z取消評級Low，不再看好未來的發展。
THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 15.5S 162.4E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFIC
發表於 2018-12-8 17:20
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