0908morakot

  中度颱風  
編號：1819 ( 22 W )
名稱：蘇力 ( Soulik )


  基本資料  
擾動編號日期：2018 年 08 月 13 日 10 時
升格熱低日期：2018 年 08 月 15 日 14 時
命名日期　　：2018 年 08 月 16 日 08 時
停編日期　　：2018 年 08 月 25 日 02 時
登陸地點　　：韓國 全羅南道 海南郡

  巔峰時期資料  
近中心最強風速
中央氣象局 (CWB)：45 m/s ( 14 級 )
日本氣象廳 (JMA) ：45 m/s ( 85 kt )
聯合颱風警報中心 (JTWC)：105 kts ( Cat.3 )

海平面最低氣壓與暴風半徑
海平面最低氣壓：940 百帕
七級風半徑　　：220 公里
十級風半徑　　：80 公里

  過去路徑圖  

  擾動編號資料  
99W.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.12N.153E


以上資料來自：CWB、JMA、JTWC、颱風論壇整理製作

傳奇@天氣人

99W是沿著高壓北上還是高壓增強西伸被推往臺灣附近呢？

傳奇@天氣人

傳奇@天氣人 發表於 2018-8-13 23:50
99W是沿著高壓北上還是高壓增強西伸被推往臺灣附近呢？

為何今年高壓那麼弱呢？

霧峰追風者

JTWC 05Z評級Low，預測遠洋北上。

(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.0N
150.5E, APPROXIMATELY 435 NM SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 140346Z AMSR2 89 GHZ
PARTIAL MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER WITH POCKETS OF FLARING CONVECTION. THE DISTURBANCE IS
CURRENTLY LOCATED IN AN AREA OF GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, MODERATE
TO HIGH (15-25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (28-29 CELSIUS). GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THE SYSTEM WILL
TRACK TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH CONSOLIDATION
LIKELY SOMETIME BETWEEN TAU 46 AND TAU 48. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

傳奇@天氣人

霧峰追風者 發表於 2018-8-14 15:02
JTWC 05Z評級Low，預測遠洋北上。

請問高壓為何那麼弱呢？

chongjason

傳奇@天氣人 發表於 2018-8-14 15:13
請問高壓為何那麼弱呢？

好明顯有麗琵阻擋高壓西伸。

寶藍色小孩

chongjason 發表於 2018-8-14 15:17
好明顯有麗琵阻擋高壓西伸。

咦 原來颱風可以阻擋高壓西伸喔？
以前一直有的觀念是颱風沿著高壓邊緣走
所以常常被高壓推過來

霧峰追風者

JTWC 18Z評級提升至Medium，逐漸增強。

(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 9.0N 150.5E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 148.0E, APPROXIMATELY 305
NM SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 141150Z MHS 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOW A SLIGHTLY
ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH PERSISTENT CONVECTION
NEAR THE CENTER, SEVERAL POCKETS OF FLARING CONVECTION NEAR THE
PERIPHERY, AND SOME SHALLOW CONVECTIVE BANDS BEGINNING TO FORM. THE
DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN AN AREA OF GOOD EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW, MODERATE TO HIGH (15-25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND
WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 CELSIUS). GLOBAL MODELS
INDICATE THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS WITH CONSOLIDATION LIKELY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
MEDIUM.