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霧峰追風者|2017-9-27 16:49
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JTWC 06Z評級LOW
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.0N
138.5E, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM EAST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH PRIMARILY MID-
LEVEL TURNING, AND CONVECTION LOCATED MOSTLY TO THE SOUTH. A 270036Z
AMSU-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A BROAD DISTURBANCE WITH LIMITED
CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. A 270036Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS A BROAD
AREA WITH PRIMARILY 15 KNOT WINDS. THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN AN
AREA OF FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10
KNOTS), AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (31-32 CELSIUS).
GLOBAL MODELS ARE NOT PICKING UP ON THE DISTURBANCE EXCEPT FOR
NAVGEM, WHICH SHOWS A TRACK TO THE NORTH AND CONSOLIDATION IN THE
EXTENDED TAUS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10
TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
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