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93W 對流消散

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[LV.9]以壇為家II

2017-9-27 09:20 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 霧峰追風者 於 2017-9-29 11:12 編輯

基本資料   
編號    :93 W
擾動編號日期:2017 09 27 09
撤編日期  :2017 09 29 09
93W-INVEST-10kts-NAmb-7N-138.5E

20170926.2047.windsat.WINDSAT_6GHz_IRWS.wind.93WINVEST.2066_051pc_10kts-NAmb_70N.jpg

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參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 收起 理由
t02436 + 15

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簽到天數: 601 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

霧峰追風者|2017-9-27 16:49 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC 06Z評級LOW
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.0N
138.5E, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM EAST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH PRIMARILY MID-
LEVEL TURNING, AND CONVECTION LOCATED MOSTLY TO THE SOUTH. A 270036Z
AMSU-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A BROAD DISTURBANCE WITH LIMITED
CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. A 270036Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS A BROAD
AREA WITH PRIMARILY 15 KNOT WINDS. THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN AN
AREA OF FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10
KNOTS), AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (31-32 CELSIUS).
GLOBAL MODELS ARE NOT PICKING UP ON THE DISTURBANCE EXCEPT FOR
NAVGEM, WHICH SHOWS A TRACK TO THE NORTH AND CONSOLIDATION IN THE
EXTENDED TAUS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10
TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
abpwsair.jpg


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[LV.9]以壇為家II

霧峰追風者|2017-9-28 10:30 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC 01Z取消評級....
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0N
138.5E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
abpwsair (1).jpg

點評

主要是因為今年的太平洋高壓老大哥火氣比較往年來的大,它整個霸佔住西北太平洋的熱帶洋面擾動低壓都被擠扁掉。  發表於 2017-9-28 15:28
副高太強勢...  發表於 2017-9-28 11:11
alu
已經有段時間了,西太熱帶擾動都發展不起來,不知何原因?  發表於 2017-9-28 11:00
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