asus5635

CWB升格TD

07fW011010
中央氣象局氣象報告
１０６年６月１０日１７時０分發布
６月１０日１４時天氣概況：

　　一、天氣特報：
　　請參照本局發布之最新豪(大)雨特報。

　　二、高氣壓１０１４百帕，在北緯２３度，東經１３８度
，即在日本南方海面，向東移動，時速１５公里。

　　三、熱帶性低氣壓１００４百帕，在北緯１３．５度，東
經１１８．５度，即在南沙島海面，向北北西緩慢移動。

　　四、明（１１）日臺灣各地及澎湖、金門、馬祖大多為多
雲到晴，白天氣溫偏高，僅東南部地區及恆春半島有局部短暫
陣雨，午後其他地區有局部短暫雷陣雨。金門及馬祖易有低雲
影響能見度，請注意。


　　五、海上強風特報：
１、臺灣北部海面平均風力可達６級，最大陣風８級，船隻請
注意。明（１１）日臺灣北部海面平均風力將稍減弱。明日臺
灣北部海面有風變，風向將由偏南風轉東北風，請注意。
２、熱帶性低氣壓影響，南沙島海面平均風力６至７級，雷雨
區最大陣風１０級；中西沙島海面平均風力可達６級，雷雨區
最大陣風９級，船隻請特別注意。明（１１日）上午起至晚間
東沙島海面及中西沙島海面平均風力將增強至６到７級，雷雨
區最大陣風１０級；巴士海峽平均風力將增強至６級，雷雨區
最大陣風９級，船隻請特別注意。明日南沙島海面平均風力將
稍減弱。
３、鋒面通過影響，今（１０日）晚起至明（１１日）上午間
，浙江海面及東海南部有明顯風變，風向將由偏南風轉偏北風
；浙江海面及東海南部平均風力可達６級，雷雨區最大陣風９
級，船隻請注意。明晨起花鳥山海面及東海北部平均風力將增
強至６級，雷雨區最大陣風８至９級，船隻請注意。明日浙江
海面及東海南部平均風力將稍減弱。

asus5635

越南開始發報

TROPICAL DEPRESSION

Analysis positions and Intensities Local time (GMT+7) Date Position Classification Maximum sustained wind 13h Saturday, June 10, 2017 13 118 TD 46 km/hour

Forecast positions and Intensities Local time (GMT+7) Date Position Classification Maximum sustained wind 13h Sunday, June 11, 2017 16.1 116 TD 56 km/hour

ben811018

EC 10日00Z的系集~

Alexchow

TCFA

jwpk9899

各大機構都在動作囉
JTWC發出TCFA



WTPN21 PGTW 101500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
175 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.5N 118.2E TO 19.8N 116.2E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 101200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 15.0N 118.0E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 13.3N 119.3E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 118E, APPROXIMATELY 185
NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
WITH CONVECTION LOCATED PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE
CENTER. A 101029Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE CONFIRMS A BROAD
CIRCULATION WITH INCREASINGLY SYMMETRICAL DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING.
THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH
LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10 KTS), GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW TO THE
SOUTHWEST, AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-31 DEGREES C).
THERE ARE HIGH LEVELS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF
THE DISTURBANCE. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL
TRACK TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND DEVELOP
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
111500Z.//
NNNN

ha093405

已經有熱帶風暴的模樣了，兩天後台灣可能將面臨另一次嚴峻的天氣挑戰。

秋威@FB

JMA GW

t02436

JTWC升格04W，看好登陸前能夠達到熱帶風暴強度。