TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 14N 116E ALMOST STATIONARY.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS OF TD 02W) HAS PERSISTED
NEAR 14.9N 116.9E, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES.
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION FLARED
OVERNIGHT, BUT IS NOW BEGINNING TO WANE WITH MOSTLY MID-LEVEL
CONVECTION NOW MOVING OFF TO THE WEST. HOWEVER, A 171352Z ASCAT PASS
REVEALS A COMPACT CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION WITH 20 KNOT WINDS
REMAINS FURTHER EAST. IN ADDITION TO THE SCATTEROMETRY, CURVED
BANDING IN A 171350Z AMSU 89 GZ IMAGE ALSO SUPPORTS THE POSITION.
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL TROUGH MOVING
THROUGH TO THE NORTH AND DRIER ENVIRONMENTAL AIR IS EXPECTED TO
PREVENT RE-INTENSIFICATION INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. GLOBAL MODELS
FURTHER DISSIPATE THESE REMNANTS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
