老農民版夜神月

IMD升格VSCS,並持續上望85KT

dom

JTWC12Z升格C1

02B.YAAS.65kts.974mb.19.8N.88.3E.

老農民版夜神月

JTWC新報下調上望至C1下限,65KT

老農民版夜神月

JTWC06ZT3.5,並定強TS上限60節

02B YAAS 210525 0600 18.9N 88.5E IO 60 978

TPIO10 PGTW 250604

A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B (YAAS)

B. 25/0545Z

C. 19.05N

D. 88.73E

E. FIVE/GOES-IO

F. T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .80 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 3.5. MET AND PT AGREES. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE


   RHOADES

老農民版夜神月

ASCAT最新風場

老農民版夜神月

IMD新報升格SCS,定強50KT

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 7 FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND
ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 2030 UTC OF 24.05.2021 BASED ON 1800 UTC
OF 24.05.2021.
Sub: CYCLONIC STORM “YAAS” (PRONOUNCED AS “YASS”) OVER EASTCENTRAL BAY
OF BENGAL INTENSIFIED INTO A SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
THE CYCLONIC STORM „YAAS‟ (PRONOUNCED AS „YASS‟) OVER EASTCENTRAL BAY OF
BENGAL MOVED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF ABOUT 10 KMPH
DURING PAST 06 HOURS, INTENSIFIED INTO A SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM AND LAY
CENTRED AT 1800 UTC OF THE 24TH MAY, 2021 OVER EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL
NEAR LATITUDE 17.6°N AND LONGITUDE 89.0°E, ABOUT 390 KM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
PARADIP (42976), 490 KM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BALASORE (42895), 470 KM SOUTHSOUTHEAST OF DIGHA (42901) AND 500KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KHEPUPARA (41984).

IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFY FURTHER
INTO A VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM DURING NEXT 12 HOURS. IT WOULD
CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFY FURTHER AND REACH
NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL NEAR NORTH ODISHA AND WEST BENGAL COASTS BY
26TH MAY EARLY MORNING (2100 UTC OF 25TH
-0000 UTC OF 26TH). IT IS VERY LIKELY TO
CROSS NORTH ODISHA-WEST BENGAL COASTS BETWEEN PARADIP (42976) AND SAGAR
ISLANDS (42903) AROUND BALASORE (42895) DURING NOON (DURING 0500-0700 UTC)
OF 26TH MAY AS A VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM.

THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 60 KNOTS AROUND
SYSTEM CENTRE. SEA CONDITION IS ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. THE ESTIMATED
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 HPA.

AT 1800 UTC, A BUOY (23092) NEAR 17.5°N/89.1°E REPORTED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
OF 70°/19 KTS AND MEAN SEA LEVEL PRESSURE OF 980 HPA. ANOTHER BUOY (23093)
NEAR 16.3°N/88.0°E REPORTED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND OF 260°/29 KTS AND MEAN
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE OF 991 HPA.

AS PER SATELLITE IMAGERY BASED ON 1800 UTC OF TODAY, THE 24TH MAY, THE
CLOUDS ARE ORGANISED IN SHEAR PATTERN. INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM IS
CHARACTERISED AS T 3.0. BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED
INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER THE AREA BETWEEN LATITUDE
14.0°N & 21°N AND 84.0°E & 90.0E . MINIMUM CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE IS 93°C.

老農民版夜神月

EC,GFS12Z系集

老農民版夜神月

ASCAT午夜前風場,中心附近已有不少50KT左右風旗