【西太】91W 低緯擾動 JTWC取消評級！

frintezza · 2012-6-15 15:04

本帖最後由 jwpk9899 於 2012-6-17 08:30 編輯

形成位置 3.0N, 157.0E

低壓 · 2012-6-15 17:41

本帖最後由低壓於 2012-6-15 17:42 編輯

好大的一片雲喔，窩度也不錯，不知道以後會不會繼續發展

張三 · 2012-6-16 00:11

在大家關注谷超的時候，91W被升評為Low了!

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 2.2N 156.3E,
APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED INFRARED
SATELLITE INDICATES A LARGE AREA OF FAIRLY DISORGANIZED DEEP
CONVECTION. A 151004Z SSMIS 37 GHZ IMAGE INDICATES A POORLY-DEFINED
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH NO DISCERNIBLE CONVECTIVE
BANDING. A 151032Z ASCAT IMAGE INDICATED AN ELONGATED BUT DEFINED
CIRCULATION WITH PREDOMINANTLY 10-15 KNOT WINDS. UPPER-LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC IS LOCATED EQUATORWARD OF THE NEAR-
EQUATORIAL RIDGE AXIS AND IS UNDER BROAD, DIFFLUENT, SOUTHERLY FLOW.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

kiki3354347 · 2012-6-16 00:11

本帖最後由 kiki3354347 於 2012-6-16 00:14 編輯

呵呵呵她似乎開始爆發對流了...
高層福散不錯~

低層散合也不錯

窩度也不錯

風切是有稍微再增強就看到時候有沒有太強摟...

但目前各國都還沒對他有反應就看看她自己的造化摟...
目前大家都在注意'谷超' 跟'西南氣流'跟'南海低壓' 其實也要稍微注意一下91W喔><!

darren · 2012-6-16 09:24

等谷超過了它就會變主角了

dight · 2012-6-16 17:28

看起來幅合跟幅散都不錯，加上風切也不大
後勢看俏
倒是西南氣流被谷超整個引導掉之後，還有多少會給91W呢？

龍王 · 2012-6-16 19:30

泰利大哥期待你了 >A<
他的路經會像谷超大哥一樣吧?

jwpk9899 · 2012-6-17 08:29

1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 1.8N
154.2E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
JTWC取消原先對91W的評級LOW，預計未來24小時不會有太大的進展(這句是報文裡的)