alu

  中度颱風  
編號：1616 ( 18 W )
名稱：馬勒卡 ( Malakas )


  基本資料  
擾動編號日期：2016 年 09 月 08 日 14 時
升格熱低日期：2016 年 09 月 12 日 02 時
命名日期　　：2016 年 09 月 13 日 02 時
停編日期　　：2016 年 09 月 20 日 20 時
登陸地點　　：日本 鹿兒島縣 大隅半島
　　　　　　　　　 和歌山縣 田邊市
颱風警報統計：海上警報 20 報
　　　　　　　陸上警報 16 報

  巔峰時期資料  
近中心最強風速
中央氣象局 (CWB)：45 m/s ( 14 級 )
日本氣象廳 (JMA) ：45 m/s ( 85 kt )
聯合颱風警報中心(JTWC) :  110 kts ( Cat. 3 )

海平面最低氣壓與暴風半徑
海平面最低氣壓：940 百帕
七級風半徑　　：180 公里
十級風半徑　　：060 公里

  過去路徑圖  



  影片紀錄  

  討論帖圖片  
90W.INVEST.15kts-1010mb-11.0N-164.0E


以上資料來自：CWB、JMA、JTWC、颱風論壇編輯製作

asus5635

JTWC 06Z評級MEDIUM

B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11.5N 162.6E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 161.7E, APPROXIMATELY
85 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF UJELANG, MARSHALL ISLANDS. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE
CENTER. A 082233Z AMSU 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS FRAGMENTED
BANDING WRAPPING INTO A BROAD BUT DEFINED LLCC. THE DISTURBANCE
IS LOCATED IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (10-20
KNOT) NORTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW.
GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS MIXED WITH SOME MODELS SHOWING SOME
DEVELOPMENT OVER THEN NEXT 72 HOURS AS THE DISTURBANCE TRACKS
WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB.
DUE TO THE DEFINED LLCC WITH AN EXPECTED IMPROVEMENT IN
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
MEDIUM.

r96340

這會不會有被莫蘭蒂吃掉的可能？像90W這種位在路徑附近的弱小風暴感覺會被吞掉…

陳約禮@FB

JTWC14Z發TCFA

WTPN21 PGTW 111400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.2N 146.6E TO 14.0N 140.1E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 111300Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 12.3N 146.1E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.2N
147.3E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 146.1E, APPROXIMATELY 105 NM
SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS
A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT IS GRADUALLY BECOMING
BETTER ORGANIZED WITH INTENSIFIED CONVECTION. A 111125Z METOP-
A 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS PREDOMINANTLY IN
THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE WITH LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES WRAPPING INTO A
WELL DEFINED LLCC. THIS IS ALSO SUPPORTED WITH EVIDENCE OF LOW-LEVEL
VORTICITY IN THE RADAR REFLECTIVITY FIELDS FROM ANDERSEN AFB. UPPER-
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY-FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH
FAIR OUTFLOW BUT WITH MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
INDUCED BY THE OUTFLOW OF TY 16W. DYNAMIC MODELS INDICATE A WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH SLOW DEVELOPMENT AFTER 90W PASSES THE
MARIANA ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18
TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
121400Z.
//
NNNN

周子堯@FB

TCFA

t02436

18Z升格18W，初報巔峰上望115節。

正宜27

小j 發布GW
熱帯低気圧
平成28年09月12日10時30分 発表
<12日09時の実況>
大きさ        -
強さ        -
        熱帯低気圧
存在地域        マリアナ諸島
中心位置        北緯 12度50分(12.8度)
        東経 143度05分(143.1度)
進行方向、速さ        西北西 30km/h(15kt)
中心気圧        1006hPa
中心付近の最大風速        15m/s(30kt)
最大瞬間風速        23m/s(45kt)