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99S 近赤道低緯幅合擾動

查看數: 6560 評論數: 4 收藏 0切换到帖子模式
    組圖打開中,請稍候......
發佈時間: 2014-2-11 05:50

正文摘要:

  基本資料          編號    :99 S     擾動編號日期:2014 年 02 月11 日 01  時  消散日期  :2014 年 02 月15 日 20  時  登 ...

t02436 發表於 2014-2-12 18:23
取消評級

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.1S 94.1E,
HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS



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可惜  發表於 2014-2-12 22:49
:o夭折了嗎??好可惜喔。  發表於 2014-2-12 19:48
開梅 發表於 2014-2-12 01:00
目前離陸地還很遠,應有較大的發展空間,看好它!
甜心 發表於 2014-2-11 19:11
這隻看起來有氣旋架勢本身結構也很完整也不近陸後期應該會發展的不錯。
t02436 發表於 2014-2-11 18:29
評級Low
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.1S 94.1E,
APPROXIMATELY 335 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLAND. RECENT
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD, ILL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A
100548Z SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWS A 15 TO 20 KNOT CIRCULATION WITH 25
KNOT WIND BARBS OVER THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH
STRONG (30+ KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET BY FAIR EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.



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