jwpk9899

  基本資料     
    編號　　　　：99 S
    擾動編號日期：2014 年 02 月11 日 01  時
　消散日期　　：2014 年 02 月15 日 20  時
　登陸地點　　：暫無
99SINVEST_20kts-1007mb-7.1S-94.1E


99SINVEST_20kts-1007mb-7.1S-94.1E

t02436

評級Low

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.1S 94.1E,
APPROXIMATELY 335 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLAND. RECENT
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD, ILL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A
100548Z SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWS A 15 TO 20 KNOT CIRCULATION WITH 25
KNOT WIND BARBS OVER THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH
STRONG (30+ KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET BY FAIR EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

甜心

這隻看起來有氣旋架勢本身結構也很完整也不近陸後期應該會發展的不錯。

開梅

目前離陸地還很遠，應有較大的發展空間，看好它！

t02436

取消評級

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.1S 94.1E,
HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS