這隻已經轉化為溫帶氣旋對流也幾乎消散殆盡 未來隨著緯度的上升 即將消失 JTWC於剛剛發出FW 死期應該不遠了 |
本帖最後由 t02436 於 2014-2-6 00:14 編輯 13Z離開FMS責任區 之後交由TCWC 威靈頓發布(話說紐西蘭氣象局的縮寫是什麼-.-?) THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 011. TCWC首報 TC Edna 985hPa near 22S 164E, moving southeast 15kt, expected at 25S 165E by 060000UTC. Within 180 nautical miles of TC Edna in southwest quadrant: Clockwise 25kt, easing after 060600UTC. |
本帖最後由 t02436 於 2014-2-5 20:51 編輯 TXPS21 KNES 051210 NOAA最新的分析 缺乏暖心已經轉化= = 老J12Z降40Kts |
稍早似乎一度有要建立底層風眼的樣子 不過從雲圖來看 結構似乎不怎麼樣 老J預測一路TS到底 |
呃...就連FMS本身也不看好 = = 預測明天下午那報就會減弱成TD TROPICAL CYCLONE EDNA CENTRE 995HPA CATEGORY 1 WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1 SOUTH 161.5 EAST AT 041200 UTC. POSITION POOR. REPEAT POSITION 17.1S 161.5E at 041200 UTC. CYCLONE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS. EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE DECREASING TO 30 KNOTS BY 050600 UTC. |