一級熱帶氣旋 編號:02S 名稱:Alessia 基本資料 擾動編號日期:2013 年 11 ...
06Z重新增強到35Kts! BOM發出修正報 導引氣流不明顯 將持續在喀本塔利灣緩移 |
老J重評Low 中心快出海了 重新發展機會是有的 BOM似乎也認定會重新發展(尚未發報) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.0S 135.8E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.7S 136.4E, APPROXIMATELY 85 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GOVE, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF LOOSELY ORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE MOVING EASTWARD INTO THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. A 251230Z TRMM 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS FRAGMENTED CONVECTIVE BANDING AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED NEAR A RIDGE AXIS, WITH LIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE EQUATORWARD AND EASTWARD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. DUE TO A LACK OF CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW |