15E.FIFTEEN,升格15E囉~ |
取消TCFA THIS CANCELS REF A (WTPN21 PHNC 092130). THE AREA OF CONVECTIONPREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 100.0W, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 103.0W, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS DISORGANIZED AND THE LOW LEVEL HAS UNRAVELED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE, LOCATED SOUTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS, IS NOW IN AN AREA OF MODERATE (15-20 KNOT) EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ADDITIONALLY, OUTFLOW HAS DIMINISHED. IN VIEW OF THE UNFAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS, THE SYSTEM IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. |