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發佈時間: 2021-2-21 08:27

正文摘要:

  基本資料   編號               :94 P 擾動編號日期 :2021 年 02 月 21 日 08 時 撤編日期        :20 ...

dom 發表於 2021-2-26 14:51
JTWC06Z撤銷評級
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 14.3S 176.7W HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
dom 發表於 2021-2-25 14:46
FMS在報文裡已不再提到94P,JTWC06Z評級維持Low
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Feb 242310 UTC.  NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.      
ABPW10 PGTW 250600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/250600Z-260600ZFEB2021//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 14.3S 176.7W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.3S 171.5W, APPROXIMATELY
188 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGO PAGO, AMERICAN SAMOA. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 250357Z SSMI 85GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE DEPICT DEEP AND FLARING CONVECTION OBSCURING A BROAD LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH MINOR LOW-LEVEL BANDING. ANALYSES INDICATE AN
OVERALL UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY ROBUST POLEWARD
OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OFFSET BY
HIGH (30-40KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY
INDICATE THAT INVEST 94P WILL PROPAGATE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD WITH
MINIMAL CONSOLIDATION OR STRENGTHENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
SHGMSCOL.JPG 141002jxxfppgnxvayppp2.jpg 141011ur4bfyyryykj7rcf.jpg
dom 發表於 2021-2-23 14:31
JTWC06Z升格TD
94P INVEST 210223 0000 14.3S 176.7W SHEM 25 1004
vis-animated.gif rb-animated.gif 94P_tracks_latest.png 94P_gefs_latest.png

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