MFR 00Z已升格STS，認為已達顛峰

ZCZC 789
WTIO30 FMEE 260613 RRA
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 15/6/20192020
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 6 (DIANE)
2.A POSITION 2020/01/26 AT 0600 UTC:
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.3 S / 67.5 E
(TWENTY FOUR    DECIMAL THREE   DEGREES SOUTH AND
SIXTY SEVEN    DECIMAL FIVE   DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 15 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 3.0/3.5/W 0.5/6 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 980 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 50 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): 56 KM
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 320 SE: 650 SW: 650 NW: 170
34 KT NE: 190 SE: 240 SW: 240 NW: 110
48 KT NE: 60 SE: 90 SW: 90 NW: 60
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1005 HPA / 700 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2020/01/26 18 UTC: 24.4 S / 68.6 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
24H: 2020/01/27 06 UTC: 24.6 S / 69.5 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT,
POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36H: 2020/01/27 18 UTC: 25.9 S / 69.7 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT,
POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
48H: 2020/01/28 06 UTC: 27.6 S / 68.9 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT,
POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
60H: 2020/01/28 18 UTC: 29.8 S / 67.5 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT,
POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
72H: 2020/01/29 06 UTC: 31.2 S / 66.7 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT,
POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
96H: 2020/01/30 06 UTC: 37.8 S / 66.2 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT,
POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
120H: 2020/01/31 06 UTC: 46.5 S / 70.3 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT,
EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
T=3.0/CI=3.5
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已編號擾動區第6號，即將登陸，橫越馬達加斯加後有機會發展為中等熱帶風暴

ZCZC 497
WTIO30 FMEE 221258 RRA
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 1/6/20192020
1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 6
2.A POSITION 2020/01/22 AT 1200 UTC:
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.8 S / 44.0 E
(SIXTEEN    DECIMAL EIGHT   DEGREES SOUTH AND
FORTY FOUR    DECIMAL ZERO   DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: EAST 7 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: NIL
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 999 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 30 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): NIL
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 350 SE: 0 SW: 300 NW: 480
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2020/01/23 00 UTC: 17.8 S / 46.6 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT, OVERLAND
DEPRESSION
24H: 2020/01/23 12 UTC: 19.6 S / 48.6 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT, OVERLAND
DEPRESSION
36H: 2020/01/24 00 UTC: 19.3 S / 52.1 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT, TROPICAL
DEPRESSION
48H: 2020/01/24 12 UTC: 19.6 S / 54.9 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT, TROPICAL
DEPRESSION
60H: 2020/01/25 00 UTC: 20.1 S / 57.3 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT, TROPICAL
DEPRESSION
72H: 2020/01/25 12 UTC: 20.7 S / 60.4 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
96H: 2020/01/26 12 UTC: 23.0 S / 67.9 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT, TROPICAL
DEPRESSION
120H: 2020/01/27 12 UTC: 21.8 S / 66.7 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT, REMNANT
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