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sh991016|2013-8-27 15:09
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本帖最後由 sh991016 於 2013-8-27 15:09 編輯
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AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 16.0N 113.4E, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM SOUTH OF HONG KONG. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A FULLY EXPOSED AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE WEST. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF LOW TO MODERATE (10-20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
此外看看GFS和NCEP預測的路徑圖，都預測似乎會往台灣近海移動
GFSNCEP
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