dom

  基本資料  
編號               ：95 W
擾動編號日期 ：2021 年 07 月 28 日 09 時
撤編日期        ：2021 年 08 月 02 日 02時
95W.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.24N.125E

老農民版夜神月

JTWC0130Z評級Low

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
26.5N 129.5E, APPROXIMATELY 90NM EAST OF KADENA, OKINAWA. ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A FULLY
EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IMBEDDED IN A BROADER CYCLONIC FLOW.
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (05-10 KTS), DUAL CHANNEL
OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL MODELS
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH THIS SYSTEM
TRACKING EAST NORTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO
BE NEAR 996 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO LOW.

老農民版夜神月

  熱帶低壓  

  基本資料  
JMA升格熱低日期：2021 年 07 月 30 日 08 時
撤編日期               ：2021 年 07 月 00 日 00 時
登陸地點　　 　  ： 無

  巔峰時期資料  
近中心最強風速
日本氣象廳  (JMA) ：15 m/s ( 30 kt )
海平面最低氣壓： 1000百帕

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 27N 140E NE SLOWLY.

周子堯@FB

雖與95W位置相近，惟渦度圖來看各自有渦度，且由95W風場掃描，卻有另一LLCC於25.8N.134.5E處；RSMC掃描亦有一中心於27.0N.140.0E處，故先判斷為兩各自擾動，若後續JTWC有做定位修正，再併帖~

t02436

因美軍於06Z調整95W之定位至28N142E一帶，與JMA 06Z對TD之定位接近，故兩帖即刻起合併繼續進行討論。

20210730 00Z 95W.INVEST.20kts.998mb.25.8N.134.5E
20210730 06Z 95W.INVEST.20kts.997mb.28.4N.142.4E
20210730 12Z 95W.INVEST.25kts.997mb.29N.143.6E

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 27N 143E NE 10 KT.

t02436

JTWC 14Z發布TCFA

ben811018

再次提醒，請勿出現情緒性、攻擊性之言論，違反者除依規則處分外，有關帳號都會長期禁言，敬請配合。