99W 接近換日線

0908morakot · 2015-8-15 11:07

本帖最後由 0908morakot 於 2015-8-16 09:49 編輯

基本資料
編號　　　　：99 W
擾動編號日期：2015 年 08 月 15 日 09 時
消散日期　　：2015 年 08 月 16 日 08 時
99W.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.11N.176E

甜心 · 2015-8-15 16:10

本帖最後由甜心於 2015-8-15 16:12 編輯

:)這隻新生的擾動低壓寶寶目前離我們還非常遙遠，目前它週遭有換日線洋流因素短期發展尚還不太樂觀不過未來可以再觀望。

t02436 · 2015-8-15 17:46

JTWC評級Low

B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.4N 175.7E,
APPROXIMATELY 325 NM NORTHEAST OF MAJURO . ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
CONVECTION HAS DEEPENED SLIGHTLY. ADDITIONALLY, A 150135 RSCAT
IMAGE SHOWS A DEFINED CIRCULATION, WHILE UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES HIGH VWS AND MARGINAL OUTFLOW, GLOBAL MODELS DEPICT
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM BEYOND TAU 36. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.