簽到天數: 3291 天 [LV.Master]伴壇終老
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t02436|2014-9-11 00:29
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JTWC稍早發布TCFA
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.0N 116.8W,
APPROXIMATELY 360NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CLARION ISLAND. ANIMATED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER WITH BUILDING DEEP CONVECTION. A 101209Z AMSU-B
MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS FRAGMENTED CONVECTIVE BANDING BUILDING ACROSS
THE WESTERN PERIPHERY AS THE LOW LEVEL STRUCTURE CONTINUES TO
IMPROVE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A HIGHLY CONDUCIVE ENVIRONMENT
WITH MULTI-DIRECTIONAL OUTFLOW AND LOW (05-10 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. ADDITIONALLY, SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE AREA ARE
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
95E跟96E形態都不錯
如果沒意外的話
可能又是暨Karina、Lowell及Marie後再度三旋並存@@
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