簽到天數: 3291 天 [LV.Master]伴壇終老
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t02436|2014-6-19 13:36
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評級Low
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 6.0N 141.0E,
APPROXIMATELY 390 NM EAST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH
DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED OVER THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE
OF THE LLCC. A 190412Z AMSU IMAGE INDICATES LIMITED CONVECTIVE
BANDING CONFINED TO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT WITH ILL-DEFINED BANDING
ELSEWHERE. A 190036Z ASCAT IMAGE REVEALS A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH 10
TO 15 KNOT WINDS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY-
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (10 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ENHANCED BY A TUTT CELL NEAR 15N 130E.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
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