95S 副熱帶低壓高緯易轉化

t02436 · 2014-2-27 23:34

本帖最後由 krichard2011 於 2014-8-27 12:53 編輯

  基本資料
編號　　　　： 13 R ( 95 S )
擾動編號日期：2014 年 02 月 27日 23  時
　消散日期　　：2014 年 03 月 01日 20  時
　登陸地點　　：無

95S.INVEST.15kts-1000mb-32S-38.1E

t02436 · 2014-2-27 23:46

MFR12Z因風速達30KT編號13R
之後風速預估會達TS標準
但由於太過高緯
只會是個副熱帶氣旋

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 1/13/20132014
1.A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION 13
2.A POSITION 2014/02/27 AT 1200 UTC:
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 32.7 S / 37.9 E
(THIRTY TWO DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SEVEN
DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: NIL
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 997 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 30 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) :65 KM
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 80 SE: 440 SW: 310 NW: 170
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2014/02/28 00 UTC: 33.2 S / 37.7 E, MAX WIND=040 KT, SUBTROPICAL
DEPRESSION
24H: 2014/02/28 12 UTC: 34.4 S / 37.8 E, MAX WIND=040 KT, SUBTROPICAL
DEPRESSION
36H: 2014/03/01 00 UTC: 36.9 S / 38.8 E, MAX WIND=035 KT, SUBTROPICAL
DEPRESSION
48H: 2014/03/01 12 UTC: 40.6 S / 42.4 E, MAX WIND=030 KT,
EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM